Wires·
Standing by — next sweep in ~4 min.
Markets
Dow+0.14%Russell 2000-0.31%Nasdaq-1.20%S&P 500-0.38%VXX+2.29%IEF-0.19%GLD+0.16%SLV-2.19%USO-0.33%UUP+0.27%Dow+0.14%Russell 2000-0.31%Nasdaq-1.20%S&P 500-0.38%VXX+2.29%IEF-0.19%GLD+0.16%SLV-2.19%USO-0.33%UUP+0.27%

Watchlist

Names the agents are following but haven't yet bought. Filter by agent to see the investment thesis behind their picks.

Entries are removed when an agent buys the name, the agent re-evaluates and drops it, or 14 days pass without a refresh.

Agent 4 — Dip Buyer (Frozen)

Holds cash until an S&P 500 name falls ≥10% from its 30-day high, then evaluates with an LLM call. Frozen control for the v3 comparison.

  • On a -10% trigger, gathers Finnhub news, SEC filings + extracted financials, and the latest macro brief, then asks Claude: "Is this a sound company with a temporary setback? What's the probability of a rebound to the 30-day high within 90 days?"
  • Buys only when Claude returns sound=true AND rebound probability ≥ 50%. Conviction-scaled sizing: 1% NAV at p=50%, ramping linearly to 5% NAV at p=90%.
  • Stop loss: -8% from entry. Target: return to the 30-day high. Time stop: 90 days. Below-conviction sound names go on the watchlist instead.
  • The research prompt is locked at day 0 and never changes — preserves a clean falsifiability test of the original analytic frame.
Universe
S&P 500 starter set (30 large-cap names, expandable)
Starting capital
$100,000
AgentTickerSideSectorCurrentWatching for
Agent 4AMATlong—$370.50Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($546.00) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 32.1% below the high.
Agent 4CATlong—$600.20Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($876.95) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 31.6% below the high.
Agent 4AXONlong—$315.43Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($439.76) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 28.3% below the high.
Agent 4FISlong—$29.54Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($40.79) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 27.6% below the high.
Agent 4KLAClong—$152.32Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($207.66) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 26.6% below the high.
Agent 4PANWlong—$322.24Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($432.33) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 25.5% below the high.
Agent 4MCHPlong—$61.68Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($82.56) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 25.3% below the high.
Agent 4NTAPlong—$181.37Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($240.87) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 24.7% below the high.
Agent 4ENPHlong—$26.07Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($34.30) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 24.0% below the high.
Agent 4KEYSlong—$297.68Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($389.93) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 23.7% below the high.
Agent 4AKAMlong—$85.40Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($111.60) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 23.5% below the high.
Agent 4ETNlong—$352.97Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($446.73) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 21.0% below the high.
Agent 4EXPElong—$257.97Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($326.40) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 21.0% below the high.
Agent 4MRNAlong—$223.37Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($280.80) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 20.5% below the high.
Agent 4JBLlong—$254.25Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($319.60) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 20.4% below the high.
Agent 4FSLRlong—$171.39Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($214.87) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 20.2% below the high.
Agent 4MTCHlong—$41.63Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($46.67) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 10.8% below the high.
Agent 4BWAlong—$50.89Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($63.69) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 20.1% below the high.
Agent 4ITlong—$192.15Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($237.54) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 19.1% below the high.
Agent 4JNPRlong—$253.90Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($284.70) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 10.8% below the high.
Agent 4DVNlong—$46.58Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($52.28) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 10.9% below the high.
Agent 4ONlong—$71.06Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($86.92) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 18.2% below the high.
Agent 4GOOGLlong—$295.77Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($359.40) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 17.7% below the high.
Agent 4VLOlong—$379.83Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($461.52) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 17.7% below the high.
Agent 4GOOGlong—$292.52Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($355.25) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 17.7% below the high.
Agent 4CMIlong—$452.18Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($548.42) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 17.5% below the high.
Agent 4ZBRAlong—$324.00Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($392.78) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 17.5% below the high.
Agent 4CRLlong—$337.97Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($379.63) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 11.0% below the high.
Agent 4Tlong—$22.18Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($24.97) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 11.2% below the high.
Agent 4SNPSlong—$455.20Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($512.49) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 11.2% below the high.
Agent 4AMCRlong—$43.80Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($49.71) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 11.9% below the high.
Agent 4BAlong—$171.50Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($195.23) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 12.2% below the high.
Agent 4TRMBlong—$55.64Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($67.27) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 17.3% below the high.
Agent 4LENlong—$83.61Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($95.22) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 12.2% below the high.
Agent 4WHRlong—$29.06Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($33.12) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 40%. Currently 12.3% below the high.
Agent 4ROKlong—$402.46Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($460.20) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 12.5% below the high.
Agent 4NWSlong—$29.89Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($34.18) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 12.6% below the high.
Agent 4CTRAlong—$520.00Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($595.00) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 12.6% below the high.
Agent 4GPSlong—$21.07Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($24.21) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 13.0% below the high.
Agent 4GNRClong—$190.77Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($228.78) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 16.6% below the high.
Agent 4BKRlong—$49.44Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($59.09) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 16.3% below the high.
Agent 4MPClong—$414.65Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($493.98) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 16.1% below the high.
Agent 4APTVlong—$38.75Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($46.08) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 15.9% below the high.
Agent 4XRAYlong—$9.16Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($10.80) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 15.2% below the high.
Agent 4Klong—$29.61Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($34.85) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 15.0% below the high.
Agent 4LKQlong—$19.47Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($22.87) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 14.9% below the high.
Agent 4FANGlong—$184.93Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($212.54) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 13.0% below the high.
Agent 4IFFlong—$81.16Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($95.27) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 14.8% below the high.
Agent 4XYLlong—$94.18Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($110.29) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 14.6% below the high.
Agent 4HPQlong—$29.36Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($34.27) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 14.3% below the high.
Agent 4BLDRlong—$60.68Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($70.65) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 14.1% below the high.
Agent 4ADMlong—$72.90Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($84.28) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 13.5% below the high.
Agent 4NWSAlong—$26.97Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($31.13) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 13.4% below the high.
Agent 4JCIlong—$139.33Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($160.41) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 13.1% below the high.
Agent 4CSGPlong—$30.96Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($35.63) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 13.1% below the high.
Agent 4ALBlong—$93.53Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($107.59) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 13.1% below the high.
Agent 4BBWIlong—$21.39Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($23.96) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 10.7% below the high.
Agent 4MOHlong—$209.49Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($234.31) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 10.6% below the high.
Agent 4AVBlong—$1,347.52Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($3763.61) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 18%. Currently 64.2% below the high.
Agent 4INTClong—$59.66Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($118.20) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 28%. Currently 49.5% below the high.
Agent 4MRVLlong—$156.76Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($301.27) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 32%. Currently 48.0% below the high.
Agent 4TERlong—$249.55Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($448.00) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 44.3% below the high.
Agent 4FMClong—$5.21Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($9.30) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 32%. Currently 44.0% below the high.
Agent 4DELLlong—$344.53Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($595.06) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 42.1% below the high.
Agent 4STXlong—$528.29Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($903.00) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 41.5% below the high.
Agent 4SMCIlong—$26.87Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($45.77) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 41.3% below the high.
Agent 4DDOGlong—$184.16Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($300.68) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 38.8% below the high.
Agent 4FFIVlong—$309.14Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($483.30) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 36.0% below the high.
Agent 4NOWlong—$102.25Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($159.50) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 35.9% below the high.
Agent 4LRCXlong—$225.92Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($351.37) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 35.7% below the high.
Agent 4CTVAlong—$9.43Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($14.62) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 35.5% below the high.
Agent 4FTNTlong—$127.22Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($197.13) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 35.5% below the high.
Agent 4TEAMlong—$149.99Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($229.96) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 34.8% below the high.
Agent 4HPElong—$48.29Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($73.56) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 34.4% below the high.
Agent 4SEElong—$2.88Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($4.38) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 34.3% below the high.
Agent 4WDClong—$295.65Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($447.71) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 34.0% below the high.
Agent 4GLWlong—$114.08Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($170.63) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 33.1% below the high.
Agent 4NVDAlong—$162.85Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($243.37) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 33.1% below the high.
Agent 4ILMNlong—$207.01Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($309.35) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 33.1% below the high.