Wires·
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Markets
Dow-0.25%Russell 2000-0.34%Nasdaq-0.80%S&P 500-0.45%VXX+0.89%IEF-0.09%GLD-1.49%SLV-2.20%USO+1.14%UUP+0.36%Dow-0.25%Russell 2000-0.34%Nasdaq-0.80%S&P 500-0.45%VXX+0.89%IEF-0.09%GLD-1.49%SLV-2.20%USO+1.14%UUP+0.36%

Watchlist

Names the agents are following but haven't yet bought. Filter by agent to see the investment thesis behind their picks.

Entries are removed when an agent buys the name, the agent re-evaluates and drops it, or 14 days pass without a refresh.

All agentsAdaptiveBear EquityDay TraderDip Buyer (Evolving)Dip Buyer (Frozen)Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware)Dual MomentumFaber GTAA52-Week High MomentumGold/Silver RatioImmutableInsider ClusterIntraday BearInverse RotatorLow VolatilityPre-Market ScalpMorning MoversPairs TradingTech/Healthcare LongInverse Tech (PSQ)SIR Price/Volume

Agent 4 — Dip Buyer (Frozen)

Holds cash until an S&P 500 name falls ≥10% from its 30-day high, then evaluates with an LLM call. Frozen control for the v3 comparison.

  • On a -10% trigger, gathers Finnhub news, SEC filings + extracted financials, and the latest macro brief, then asks Claude: "Is this a sound company with a temporary setback? What's the probability of a rebound to the 30-day high within 90 days?"
  • Buys only when Claude returns sound=true AND rebound probability ≥ 50%. Conviction-scaled sizing: 1% NAV at p=50%, ramping linearly to 5% NAV at p=90%.
  • Stop loss: -8% from entry. Target: return to the 30-day high. Time stop: 90 days. Below-conviction sound names go on the watchlist instead.
  • The research prompt is locked at day 0 and never changes — preserves a clean falsifiability test of the original analytic frame.
Universe
S&P 500 starter set (30 large-cap names, expandable)
Starting capital
$100,000
AgentTickerSideSectorCurrentWatching for
Agent 4EXPElong—$287.96Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($342.00) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 15.8% below the high.
Agent 4EQRlong—$63.66Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($71.50) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 11.0% below the high.
Agent 4CCLlong—$22.57Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($30.22) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 25.3% below the high.
Agent 4WDClong—$426.94Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($564.66) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 24.4% below the high.
Agent 4ALKlong—$40.74Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($53.62) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 24.0% below the high.
Agent 4RCLlong—$255.29Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($334.00) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 23.6% below the high.
Agent 4SEElong—$4.14Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($5.39) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 23.2% below the high.
Agent 4NRGlong—$108.47Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($140.72) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 22.9% below the high.
Agent 4TJXlong—$125.99Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($162.50) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 22.5% below the high.
Agent 4APTVlong—$44.80Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($57.78) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 22.5% below the high.
Agent 4MPWRlong—$1,143.24Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($1464.99) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 22.0% below the high.
Agent 4GNRClong—$176.93Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($226.00) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 21.7% below the high.
Agent 4BLDRlong—$60.23Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($76.80) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 21.6% below the high.
Agent 4IRlong—$72.13Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($91.78) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 21.4% below the high.
Agent 4KLAClong—$169.01Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($214.80) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 21.3% below the high.
Agent 4PNRlong—$56.20Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($70.97) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 20.8% below the high.
Agent 4LRCXlong—$273.49Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($345.28) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 20.8% below the high.
Agent 4JBLlong—$298.84Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($376.97) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 20.7% below the high.
Agent 4LUVlong—$39.54Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($49.73) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 20.5% below the high.
Agent 4ALBlong—$115.03Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($144.06) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 20.2% below the high.
Agent 4IPlong—$34.25Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($42.87) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 37%. Currently 20.1% below the high.
Agent 4CDNSlong—$279.10Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($349.11) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 20.1% below the high.
Agent 4PODDlong—$137.81Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($172.11) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 19.9% below the high.
Agent 4PVHlong—$73.01Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($91.13) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 19.9% below the high.
Agent 4HONlong—$201.41Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($251.16) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 19.8% below the high.
Agent 4UALlong—$108.98Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($135.37) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 19.5% below the high.
Agent 4SYKlong—$281.90Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($349.77) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 19.4% below the high.
Agent 4BKNGlong—$175.34Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($217.32) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 19.3% below the high.
Agent 4FMClong—$10.98Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($13.46) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 18.4% below the high.
Agent 4IDXXlong—$509.41Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($624.15) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 18.4% below the high.
Agent 4CLXlong—$89.33Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($109.42) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 18.4% below the high.
Agent 4GElong—$317.58Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($388.84) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 18.3% below the high.
Agent 4STZlong—$125.01Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($139.26) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 10.2% below the high.
Agent 4MNSTlong—$44.20Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($49.24) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 22%. Currently 10.2% below the high.
Agent 4POOLlong—$171.87Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($209.78) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 18.1% below the high.
Agent 4ETNlong—$393.07Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($478.00) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 37%. Currently 17.8% below the high.
Agent 4FISlong—$38.19Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($46.42) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 17.7% below the high.
Agent 4HRLlong—$20.97Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($25.47) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 17.7% below the high.
Agent 4ODFLlong—$181.85Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($220.00) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 17.3% below the high.
Agent 4FERGlong—$222.35Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($267.84) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 17.0% below the high.
Agent 4BBWIlong—$17.91Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($21.56) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 17.0% below the high.
Agent 4AKAMlong—$105.52Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($127.04) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 16.9% below the high.
Agent 4RLlong—$341.56Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($411.19) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 48%. Currently 16.9% below the high.
Agent 4MRNAlong—$146.77Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($176.66) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 16.9% below the high.
Agent 4MCHPlong—$71.44Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($85.97) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 16.9% below the high.
Agent 4GPSlong—$21.51Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($25.80) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 16.6% below the high.
Agent 4HIIlong—$279.91Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($334.53) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 16.3% below the high.
Agent 4ONlong—$71.61Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($85.55) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 16.3% below the high.
Agent 4Along—$146.83Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($163.75) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 10.3% below the high.
Agent 4ALGNlong—$153.00Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($182.20) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 16.0% below the high.
Agent 4SBUXlong—$99.08Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($110.51) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 10.3% below the high.
Agent 4QRVOlong—$107.96Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($120.52) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 10.4% below the high.
Agent 4ROSTlong—$230.09Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($257.00) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 10.5% below the high.
Agent 4ITWlong—$269.05Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($300.53) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 10.5% below the high.
Agent 4INVHlong—$27.59Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($30.89) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 10.7% below the high.
Agent 4PSAlong—$295.40Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($330.77) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 10.7% below the high.
Agent 4BXPlong—$64.50Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($72.25) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 37%. Currently 10.7% below the high.
Agent 4LENlong—$80.02Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($89.65) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 10.7% below the high.
Agent 4SJMlong—$121.29Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($135.89) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 44%. Currently 10.7% below the high.
Agent 4TXTlong—$80.55Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($90.25) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 48%. Currently 10.7% below the high.
Agent 4AOSlong—$57.38Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($64.32) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 44%. Currently 10.8% below the high.
Agent 4GRMNlong—$280.34Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($314.28) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 10.8% below the high.
Agent 4EMRlong—$148.31Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($166.35) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 10.8% below the high.
Agent 4PHMlong—$118.97Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($133.86) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 11.1% below the high.
Agent 4TSNlong—$53.17Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($59.91) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 44%. Currently 11.3% below the high.
Agent 4NOClong—$527.35Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($594.51) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 11.3% below the high.
Agent 4MUlong—$924.29Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($1042.40) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 11.3% below the high.
Agent 4MKClong—$50.39Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($56.87) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 11.4% below the high.
Agent 4LWlong—$48.25Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($55.70) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 13.4% below the high.
Agent 4STElong—$213.69Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($241.39) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 48%. Currently 11.5% below the high.
Agent 4EMNlong—$67.00Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($75.75) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 44%. Currently 11.6% below the high.
Agent 4CAGlong—$14.79Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($16.74) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 11.6% below the high.
Agent 4ABNBlong—$170.66Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($193.45) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 11.8% below the high.
Agent 4SLBlong—$53.31Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($60.46) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 11.8% below the high.
Agent 4KMBlong—$99.09Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($112.70) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 12.1% below the high.
Agent 4TAPlong—$39.09Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($44.50) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 12.2% below the high.
Agent 4LOWlong—$198.18Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($225.79) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 12.2% below the high.
Agent 4MMMlong—$162.01Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($184.69) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 45%. Currently 12.3% below the high.
Agent 4PPGlong—$105.25Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($119.99) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 12.3% below the high.
Agent 4HSTlong—$22.37Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($25.51) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 12.3% below the high.
Agent 4HPElong—$55.41Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($63.44) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 12.7% below the high.
Agent 4BAlong—$210.30Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($241.09) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 12.8% below the high.
Agent 4MTDlong—$1,285.75Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($1474.19) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 12.8% below the high.
Agent 4SHWlong—$324.51Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($372.16) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 12.8% below the high.
Agent 4EFXlong—$172.29Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($197.90) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 44%. Currently 12.9% below the high.
Agent 4TTWOlong—$222.94Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($256.62) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 13.1% below the high.
Agent 4SMCIlong—$36.73Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($42.31) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 37%. Currently 13.2% below the high.
Agent 4XYLlong—$107.53Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($124.00) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 13.3% below the high.
Agent 4LMTlong—$529.48Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($612.75) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 13.6% below the high.
Agent 4AMCRlong—$42.24Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($48.94) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 13.7% below the high.
Agent 4IRMlong—$112.06Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($130.05) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 13.8% below the high.
Agent 4PYPLlong—$54.02Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($62.73) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 44%. Currently 13.9% below the high.
Agent 4SWKSlong—$79.24Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($92.30) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 14.2% below the high.
Agent 4NKElong—$37.08Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($43.21) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 35%. Currently 14.2% below the high.
Agent 4PTClong—$136.62Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($159.46) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 48%. Currently 14.3% below the high.
Agent 4ROKlong—$418.88Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($489.35) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 48%. Currently 14.4% below the high.
Agent 4WYlong—$22.25Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($26.00) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 14.4% below the high.
Agent 4WDAYlong—$194.14Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($227.49) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 48%. Currently 14.7% below the high.
Agent 4AONlong—$311.54Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($366.32) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 15.0% below the high.
Agent 4BSXlong—$45.05Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($52.99) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 15.0% below the high.
Agent 4ENPHlong—$36.65Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($43.28) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 15.3% below the high.
Agent 4Klong—$39.18Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($46.27) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 15.3% below the high.
Agent 4BAXlong—$23.86Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($28.38) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 15.9% below the high.
Agent 4TFXlong—$130.33Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($145.00) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 47%. Currently 10.1% below the high.
Agent 4PCARlong—$122.86Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($136.76) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 48%. Currently 10.2% below the high.
Agent 4FCXlong—$69.35Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($80.24) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 13.6% below the high.
Agent 4GISlong—$36.48Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($42.20) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 13.6% below the high.
Agent 4LVSlong—$42.41Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($49.05) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 13.5% below the high.
Agent 4ILMNlong—$208.23Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($231.81) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 44%. Currently 10.2% below the high.
Agent 4CARRlong—$57.27Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($66.14) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 42%. Currently 13.4% below the high.
Agent 4BURLlong—$232.22Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($376.45) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 38.3% below the high.
Agent 4NCLHlong—$14.73Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($20.61) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 28.6% below the high.
Agent 4TPRlong—$117.94Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($164.80) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 28.4% below the high.
Agent 4WHRlong—$34.00Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($47.10) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 27.8% below the high.
Agent 4PCGlong—$13.59Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($18.41) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 26.2% below the high.
Agent 4BLKlong—$1,065.84Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($1187.17) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 41%. Currently 10.2% below the high.