ON
ON Semiconductor CorpInformation Technologyinsider_universeEverything we've seen
- ?Nov 13, 7:30 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 4 — Dip Buyer (Frozen) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor (ON) is down 18.2% from its 30-day high with no company-specific negative news, SEC filings, or earnings warnings visible in the evidence window — suggesting the drop may be macro- or sector-driven rather than fundamental deterioration. ON is a semiconductor firm with significant exposure to automotive and industrial end markets, which can be sensitive to cyclical slowdowns and rate-curve dynamics. The macro context shows the 10Y-2Y spread at 0.24, running 2.0σ below its 24-month trend, suggesting a flattening/compressed yield curve environment that weighs on cyclical and growth-oriented names like ON without necessarily signaling a fundamental breakdown.
- !Nov 13, 7:30 PMsignalseverity 0.18
Agent 4 — Dip Buyer (Frozen) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor (ON) is down 18.2% from its 30-day high with no company-specific negative news, SEC filings, or earnings warnings visible in the evidence window — suggesting the drop may be macro- or sector-driven rather than fundamental deterioration. ON is a semiconductor firm with significant exposure to automotive and industrial end markets, which can be sensitive to cyclical slowdowns and rate-curve dynamics. The macro context shows the 10Y-2Y spread at 0.24, running 2.0σ below its 24-month trend, suggesting a flattening/compressed yield curve environment that weighs on cyclical and growth-oriented names like ON without necessarily signaling a fundamental breakdown.
- ?Nov 13, 3:40 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 7 — Day Trader — decide: skip
With only 5 minutes remaining until the forced close, there is essentially no time for further meaningful continuation even if momentum is intact. The -3.38% move is significant and represents real selling pressure, but at this stage the position would be entered at the very end of the session with no room to run to the +3% target and near-certain EOD flatten. The macro context (T10Y2Y 2σ below trend) is modestly supportive of defensives and negative for cyclicals like ON Semiconductor, which could have contributed to today's selling, but this does not change the time constraint. With 5 minutes left, the probability of capturing meaningful additional downside before the 3:45 PM cutoff is low — late-session mean reversion or simply running out of time dominates. The asymmetry that makes borderline setups worth taking (ample time for the +3% target to be reached) is absent here.
- !Nov 13, 3:40 PMsignalseverity -0.03
Agent 7 — Day Trader — day_trade_skipped
With only 5 minutes remaining until the forced close, there is essentially no time for further meaningful continuation even if momentum is intact. The -3.38% move is significant and represents real selling pressure, but at this stage the position would be entered at the very end of the session with no room to run to the +3% target and near-certain EOD flatten. The macro context (T10Y2Y 2σ below trend) is modestly supportive of defensives and negative for cyclicals like ON Semiconductor, which could have contributed to today's selling, but this does not change the time constraint. With 5 minutes left, the probability of capturing meaningful additional downside before the 3:45 PM cutoff is low — late-session mean reversion or simply running out of time dominates. The asymmetry that makes borderline setups worth taking (ample time for the +3% target to be reached) is absent here.
- ?Nov 13, 3:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 18.9% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). No hard veto conditions apply — earnings are 87 days away, well outside the 30-day window, and no fundamental deterioration is evident from filings. However, the evidence stack is thin: no insider buying, no options flow data, no macro brief, and no news to contextualize the drop. The sector (XLK) is the worst-performing in its peer group (rank 11/11) with 30-day relative strength of -11.25pts vs SPY (+1 for sector-wide dip rather than idiosyncratic), but today's flow proxy is deeply negative (-5.69M), suggesting ongoing selling pressure. Macro headwinds are real: 10Y at 4.98% is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), VIX at 69th percentile is elevated but below the 75th threshold, and the 2s10s is barely positive (+0.25pp), limiting the yield-curve penalty. Net signal score: drop magnitude (+1), sector underperformance (+1), no near-term earnings (+1), high 10Y yield (-1) = +2, but the near-total absence of confirmatory signals (no insider buys, no call flow) leaves conviction too low to trigger a buy.
- !Nov 13, 3:20 PMsignalseverity 0.18
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 18.9% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). No hard veto conditions apply — earnings are 87 days away, well outside the 30-day window, and no fundamental deterioration is evident from filings. However, the evidence stack is thin: no insider buying, no options flow data, no macro brief, and no news to contextualize the drop. The sector (XLK) is the worst-performing in its peer group (rank 11/11) with 30-day relative strength of -11.25pts vs SPY (+1 for sector-wide dip rather than idiosyncratic), but today's flow proxy is deeply negative (-5.69M), suggesting ongoing selling pressure. Macro headwinds are real: 10Y at 4.98% is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), VIX at 69th percentile is elevated but below the 75th threshold, and the 2s10s is barely positive (+0.25pp), limiting the yield-curve penalty. Net signal score: drop magnitude (+1), sector underperformance (+1), no near-term earnings (+1), high 10Y yield (-1) = +2, but the near-total absence of confirmatory signals (no insider buys, no call flow) leaves conviction too low to trigger a buy.
- ?Nov 13, 3:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- !Nov 13, 3:20 PMsignalseverity 0.18
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- ?Nov 13, 2:21 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- !Nov 13, 2:21 PMsignalseverity 0.18
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- ?Nov 13, 2:21 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 18.9% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). No hard veto conditions apply — earnings are 87 days away, well outside the 30-day window, and no fundamental deterioration is evident from filings. However, the evidence stack is thin: no insider buying, no options flow data, no macro brief, and no news to contextualize the drop. The sector (XLK) is the worst-performing in its peer group (rank 11/11) with 30-day relative strength of -11.25pts vs SPY (+1 for sector-wide dip rather than idiosyncratic), but today's flow proxy is deeply negative (-5.69M), suggesting ongoing selling pressure. Macro headwinds are real: 10Y at 4.98% is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), VIX at 69th percentile is elevated but below the 75th threshold, and the 2s10s is barely positive (+0.25pp), limiting the yield-curve penalty. Net signal score: drop magnitude (+1), sector underperformance (+1), no near-term earnings (+1), high 10Y yield (-1) = +2, but the near-total absence of confirmatory signals (no insider buys, no call flow) leaves conviction too low to trigger a buy.
- !Nov 13, 2:21 PMsignalseverity 0.18
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 18.9% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). No hard veto conditions apply — earnings are 87 days away, well outside the 30-day window, and no fundamental deterioration is evident from filings. However, the evidence stack is thin: no insider buying, no options flow data, no macro brief, and no news to contextualize the drop. The sector (XLK) is the worst-performing in its peer group (rank 11/11) with 30-day relative strength of -11.25pts vs SPY (+1 for sector-wide dip rather than idiosyncratic), but today's flow proxy is deeply negative (-5.69M), suggesting ongoing selling pressure. Macro headwinds are real: 10Y at 4.98% is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), VIX at 69th percentile is elevated but below the 75th threshold, and the 2s10s is barely positive (+0.25pp), limiting the yield-curve penalty. Net signal score: drop magnitude (+1), sector underperformance (+1), no near-term earnings (+1), high 10Y yield (-1) = +2, but the near-total absence of confirmatory signals (no insider buys, no call flow) leaves conviction too low to trigger a buy.
- ?Nov 13, 2:10 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 7 — Day Trader — decide: skip
ON is down 3.27% intraday with no headline catalyst visible, suggesting this is likely flow-driven or sector/macro-driven selling. The macro context shows a flattening yield curve (T10Y2Y at 2σ below trend), which is modestly negative for cyclical semis like ON Semiconductor, as it signals growth concerns. No reversal signal is evident from the data provided. With 95 minutes remaining, there is meaningful time for continuation, though the absence of a clear narrative catalyst limits conviction. The move is at the lower bound of the 'meaningful conviction' range (~3%), so momentum is real but not overwhelming. No news to suggest a catalyst-driven snap-back. Overall, slight lean toward continuation given macro headwinds and size of move, but not a high-conviction setup — probability just above the 0.5 threshold.
- !Nov 13, 2:10 PMsignalseverity -0.03
Agent 7 — Day Trader — day_trade_skipped
ON is down 3.27% intraday with no headline catalyst visible, suggesting this is likely flow-driven or sector/macro-driven selling. The macro context shows a flattening yield curve (T10Y2Y at 2σ below trend), which is modestly negative for cyclical semis like ON Semiconductor, as it signals growth concerns. No reversal signal is evident from the data provided. With 95 minutes remaining, there is meaningful time for continuation, though the absence of a clear narrative catalyst limits conviction. The move is at the lower bound of the 'meaningful conviction' range (~3%), so momentum is real but not overwhelming. No news to suggest a catalyst-driven snap-back. Overall, slight lean toward continuation given macro headwinds and size of move, but not a high-conviction setup — probability just above the 0.5 threshold.
- ?Nov 13, 1:23 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 18.9% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). No hard veto conditions apply — earnings are 87 days away, well outside the 30-day window, and no fundamental deterioration is evident from filings. However, the evidence stack is thin: no insider buying, no options flow data, no macro brief, and no news to contextualize the drop. The sector (XLK) is the worst-performing in its peer group (rank 11/11) with 30-day relative strength of -11.25pts vs SPY (+1 for sector-wide dip rather than idiosyncratic), but today's flow proxy is deeply negative (-5.69M), suggesting ongoing selling pressure. Macro headwinds are real: 10Y at 4.98% is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), VIX at 69th percentile is elevated but below the 75th threshold, and the 2s10s is barely positive (+0.25pp), limiting the yield-curve penalty. Net signal score: drop magnitude (+1), sector underperformance (+1), no near-term earnings (+1), high 10Y yield (-1) = +2, but the near-total absence of confirmatory signals (no insider buys, no call flow) leaves conviction too low to trigger a buy.
- !Nov 13, 1:23 PMsignalseverity 0.19
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 18.9% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). No hard veto conditions apply — earnings are 87 days away, well outside the 30-day window, and no fundamental deterioration is evident from filings. However, the evidence stack is thin: no insider buying, no options flow data, no macro brief, and no news to contextualize the drop. The sector (XLK) is the worst-performing in its peer group (rank 11/11) with 30-day relative strength of -11.25pts vs SPY (+1 for sector-wide dip rather than idiosyncratic), but today's flow proxy is deeply negative (-5.69M), suggesting ongoing selling pressure. Macro headwinds are real: 10Y at 4.98% is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), VIX at 69th percentile is elevated but below the 75th threshold, and the 2s10s is barely positive (+0.25pp), limiting the yield-curve penalty. Net signal score: drop magnitude (+1), sector underperformance (+1), no near-term earnings (+1), high 10Y yield (-1) = +2, but the near-total absence of confirmatory signals (no insider buys, no call flow) leaves conviction too low to trigger a buy.
- ?Nov 13, 1:23 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- !Nov 13, 1:23 PMsignalseverity 0.19
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- ?Nov 13, 12:30 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 7 — Day Trader — decide: skip
ON is down ~3.95% intraday with 195 minutes remaining, a meaningful move suggesting real institutional selling pressure. No headline catalyst is present, but absence of news doesn't disqualify continuation — this looks like flow-driven selling, possibly sector-related (ON is a semiconductor/power management name sensitive to macro and industrial demand cycles). The macro context shows a compressed yield curve (T10Y2Y at 2σ below trend), which is modestly bearish for cyclical/growth-oriented semis as it signals growth concerns. With 195 minutes left there is ample time for continuation into the close. No reversal signal is evident from the data provided. The move is in the 3-5% range which is meaningful but not extreme enough to trigger a mean-reversion fade assumption. Overall, mild continuation bias with no strong catalyst to reverse, but also no dominant tailwind to push probability into high-conviction territory.
- !Nov 13, 12:30 PMsignalseverity -0.04
Agent 7 — Day Trader — day_trade_skipped
ON is down ~3.95% intraday with 195 minutes remaining, a meaningful move suggesting real institutional selling pressure. No headline catalyst is present, but absence of news doesn't disqualify continuation — this looks like flow-driven selling, possibly sector-related (ON is a semiconductor/power management name sensitive to macro and industrial demand cycles). The macro context shows a compressed yield curve (T10Y2Y at 2σ below trend), which is modestly bearish for cyclical/growth-oriented semis as it signals growth concerns. With 195 minutes left there is ample time for continuation into the close. No reversal signal is evident from the data provided. The move is in the 3-5% range which is meaningful but not extreme enough to trigger a mean-reversion fade assumption. Overall, mild continuation bias with no strong catalyst to reverse, but also no dominant tailwind to push probability into high-conviction territory.
- ?Nov 13, 11:36 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- !Nov 13, 11:36 AMsignalseverity 0.19
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- ?Nov 13, 10:41 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 7 — Day Trader — decide: skip
ON is down 5.78% intraday with no headline catalyst, suggesting this is likely flow-driven or sector/macro pressure rather than a news spike that might quickly reverse. The absence of a specific catalyst means there's no obvious mean-reversion trigger. The macro context shows T10Y2Y at 2.0σ below trend — a flatter/inverted curve environment is generally negative for cyclical semis like ON Semiconductor, which is sensitive to end-market demand cycles (auto, industrial). This mild macro headwind supports continuation rather than a fade. With 305 minutes remaining there is ample time for the move to extend. No reversal signals are evident from the data provided. That said, a 5.78% move is already substantial and without confirmed volume data or a clear news driver, there's natural uncertainty about whether sellers have more conviction to press. Overall, the balance of evidence modestly favors continuation — no news-driven snap-back risk, macro context is directionally aligned, and time is not a constraint. Assigning 0.54 probability of continued downside.
- !Nov 13, 10:41 AMsignalseverity -0.06
Agent 7 — Day Trader — day_trade_skipped
ON is down 5.78% intraday with no headline catalyst, suggesting this is likely flow-driven or sector/macro pressure rather than a news spike that might quickly reverse. The absence of a specific catalyst means there's no obvious mean-reversion trigger. The macro context shows T10Y2Y at 2.0σ below trend — a flatter/inverted curve environment is generally negative for cyclical semis like ON Semiconductor, which is sensitive to end-market demand cycles (auto, industrial). This mild macro headwind supports continuation rather than a fade. With 305 minutes remaining there is ample time for the move to extend. No reversal signals are evident from the data provided. That said, a 5.78% move is already substantial and without confirmed volume data or a clear news driver, there's natural uncertainty about whether sellers have more conviction to press. Overall, the balance of evidence modestly favors continuation — no news-driven snap-back risk, macro context is directionally aligned, and time is not a constraint. Assigning 0.54 probability of continued downside.
- ?Nov 12, 7:30 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 4 — Dip Buyer (Frozen) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor (ON) is down 15.3% from its 30-day high with no company-specific negative news, SEC filings, or earnings deterioration evident in the available evidence window — suggesting the drop is likely macro- or sector-driven rather than fundamental. The macro context shows the 10-year inflation breakeven (T10YIE) printing 1.7σ below its 24-month trend, indicating a disinflationary signal that could weigh on cyclical semiconductor names like ON in the near term, but is not necessarily catastrophic for the business. ON has historically been a fundamentally sound company with strong positioning in power semiconductics and EVs, and absent negative catalysts, mean-reversion toward the 30-day high is plausible within 90 days.
- !Nov 12, 7:30 PMsignalseverity 0.15
Agent 4 — Dip Buyer (Frozen) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor (ON) is down 15.3% from its 30-day high with no company-specific negative news, SEC filings, or earnings deterioration evident in the available evidence window — suggesting the drop is likely macro- or sector-driven rather than fundamental. The macro context shows the 10-year inflation breakeven (T10YIE) printing 1.7σ below its 24-month trend, indicating a disinflationary signal that could weigh on cyclical semiconductor names like ON in the near term, but is not necessarily catastrophic for the business. ON has historically been a fundamentally sound company with strong positioning in power semiconductics and EVs, and absent negative catalysts, mean-reversion toward the 30-day high is plausible within 90 days.
- ?Nov 12, 2:36 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- !Nov 12, 2:36 PMsignalseverity 0.15
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- ?Nov 12, 10:20 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- !Nov 12, 10:20 AMsignalseverity 0.17
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- ?Nov 12, 10:20 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- !Nov 12, 10:20 AMsignalseverity 0.17
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- ?Nov 12, 9:55 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 7 — Day Trader — decide: skip
ON is down 1.60% today, which is a moderate but not dramatic intraday move. There are no recent headlines driving the move, so this appears to be flow-driven or sector-driven pressure. The macro context is notable: T10YIE at 1.7σ below its 24-month trend suggests falling inflation expectations, which is generally supportive of long-duration and growth assets — this creates a mild headwind against further downside continuation for a semiconductor name like ON Semiconductor, which carries some growth characteristics. However, the macro tailwind is subtle and not strong enough to confidently call a reversal. With 350 minutes remaining (session just beginning or early session), there is ample time for the move to continue if there is real selling pressure underneath. The absence of a catalyst cuts both ways — no news-driven panic, but also no catalyst to reverse the selling. Balancing the moderate move magnitude, mixed macro signal (slightly growth-supportive environment that mildly argues against continued selling), and no clear reversal pattern yet observed, this sits at the borderline. The system's asymmetric reward structure (tight stop, 3% target, bounded risk) supports taking the continuation trade at the threshold.
- !Nov 12, 9:55 AMsignalseverity -0.02
Agent 7 — Day Trader — day_trade_skipped
ON is down 1.60% today, which is a moderate but not dramatic intraday move. There are no recent headlines driving the move, so this appears to be flow-driven or sector-driven pressure. The macro context is notable: T10YIE at 1.7σ below its 24-month trend suggests falling inflation expectations, which is generally supportive of long-duration and growth assets — this creates a mild headwind against further downside continuation for a semiconductor name like ON Semiconductor, which carries some growth characteristics. However, the macro tailwind is subtle and not strong enough to confidently call a reversal. With 350 minutes remaining (session just beginning or early session), there is ample time for the move to continue if there is real selling pressure underneath. The absence of a catalyst cuts both ways — no news-driven panic, but also no catalyst to reverse the selling. Balancing the moderate move magnitude, mixed macro signal (slightly growth-supportive environment that mildly argues against continued selling), and no clear reversal pattern yet observed, this sits at the borderline. The system's asymmetric reward structure (tight stop, 3% target, bounded risk) supports taking the continuation trade at the threshold.
- ?Nov 12, 9:20 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- ?Nov 12, 9:20 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- !Nov 12, 9:20 AMsignalseverity 0.15
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- !Nov 12, 9:20 AMsignalseverity 0.15
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- ?Nov 11, 7:31 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 4 — Dip Buyer (Frozen) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor (ON) is down 15.3% from its 30-day high with no company-specific negative news, SEC filings, or earnings deterioration evident in the available evidence window — suggesting the drop is likely macro- or sector-driven rather than fundamental. The macro context shows the 10-year inflation breakeven (T10YIE) printing 1.7σ below its 24-month trend, indicating a disinflationary signal that could weigh on cyclical semiconductor names like ON in the near term, but is not necessarily catastrophic for the business. ON has historically been a fundamentally sound company with strong positioning in power semiconductics and EVs, and absent negative catalysts, mean-reversion toward the 30-day high is plausible within 90 days.
- !Nov 11, 7:31 PMsignalseverity 0.15
Agent 4 — Dip Buyer (Frozen) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor (ON) is down 15.3% from its 30-day high with no company-specific negative news, SEC filings, or earnings deterioration evident in the available evidence window — suggesting the drop is likely macro- or sector-driven rather than fundamental. The macro context shows the 10-year inflation breakeven (T10YIE) printing 1.7σ below its 24-month trend, indicating a disinflationary signal that could weigh on cyclical semiconductor names like ON in the near term, but is not necessarily catastrophic for the business. ON has historically been a fundamentally sound company with strong positioning in power semiconductics and EVs, and absent negative catalysts, mean-reversion toward the 30-day high is plausible within 90 days.
- ?Nov 11, 2:21 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- !Nov 11, 2:21 PMsignalseverity 0.15
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- ?Nov 11, 2:21 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- !Nov 11, 2:20 PMsignalseverity 0.15
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- ?Nov 11, 1:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- !Nov 11, 1:20 PMsignalseverity 0.14
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- ?Nov 11, 1:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- !Nov 11, 1:20 PMsignalseverity 0.14
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- ?Nov 11, 12:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- !Nov 11, 12:20 PMsignalseverity 0.14
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- ?Nov 11, 12:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- !Nov 11, 12:20 PMsignalseverity 0.14
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- ?Nov 11, 10:21 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- ?Nov 11, 10:21 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- !Nov 11, 10:21 AMsignalseverity 0.17
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high with no identifiable company-specific negative catalyst in the evidence (no headlines, no SEC filings, no insider selling). The drop appears largely sector-driven — IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5d and 30d, with heavy negative flow — suggesting this is a macro/sector selloff rather than fundamental impairment. However, the headwinds are significant: XLK ranks last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength, sector flow is deeply negative (-$20M proxy), the 10Y yield at 4.88% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and VIX at the 80th percentile reflects elevated risk aversion. Earnings are 89 days away (non-factor), and there are no confirmation signals (no insider buys, no unusual call flow, no analyst upgrades) to support a higher conviction call.
- !Nov 11, 10:21 AMsignalseverity 0.17
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 16.8% from its 30-day high, meeting the mean-reversion threshold (+1), and earnings are 89 days away providing a clean runway (+1). However, the sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) by 30-day relative strength with -11.28pts vs SPY over 30 days (+1 for sector-wide dip, not idiosyncratic), but this also reflects a deteriorating sector backdrop. Against these positives, macro headwinds are significant: VIX at the 80th percentile (-1), 10Y yield at 4.88% which is a structural headwind for a semiconductor/growth name (-1), and there is a complete absence of confirming signals — no insider buying, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to verify fundamental health. The net signal score is approximately +1 (mean-reversion +1, clean earnings runway +1, sector-wide weakness +1, elevated VIX -1, high 10Y yield -1), which is marginal and below the threshold for a confident buy without a cluster insider buy or unusual call flow to anchor conviction.
- ?Nov 11, 9:40 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 7 — Day Trader — decide: skip
ON is up ~2.93% intraday, a meaningful move suggesting real institutional flow. No news catalyst is present, but absence of news is not disqualifying — this could be sector rotation, options activity, or technical breakout buying. Macro context shows T10YIE at 2.2, running 1.7σ below trend, which is a low-inflation-expectations environment that is modestly supportive for growth/tech-adjacent names like ON Semiconductor (a semiconductor company sensitive to EV and industrial cycles). Lower real rates or inflation expectations can support multiple expansion in this space. However, with 365 minutes remaining (a full session essentially — this appears to be early session), there is ample time but also ample time for a fade or mean reversion. The move is at the lower end of the 'meaningful' threshold (just under 3%), and without a clear catalyst or confirmatory volume data, conviction is moderate. No reversal signals are present. Net assessment: modest continuation bias, probability just above the action threshold.
- !Nov 11, 9:40 AMsignalseverity 0.03
Agent 7 — Day Trader — day_trade_skipped
ON is up ~2.93% intraday, a meaningful move suggesting real institutional flow. No news catalyst is present, but absence of news is not disqualifying — this could be sector rotation, options activity, or technical breakout buying. Macro context shows T10YIE at 2.2, running 1.7σ below trend, which is a low-inflation-expectations environment that is modestly supportive for growth/tech-adjacent names like ON Semiconductor (a semiconductor company sensitive to EV and industrial cycles). Lower real rates or inflation expectations can support multiple expansion in this space. However, with 365 minutes remaining (a full session essentially — this appears to be early session), there is ample time but also ample time for a fade or mean reversion. The move is at the lower end of the 'meaningful' threshold (just under 3%), and without a clear catalyst or confirmatory volume data, conviction is moderate. No reversal signals are present. Net assessment: modest continuation bias, probability just above the action threshold.
- ?Nov 11, 9:21 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). The drop appears to be sector-wide rather than idiosyncratic, as the IT sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength and is underperforming SPY by 11.37pts over 30 days (+1). There are no imminent earnings, no recent negative filings, and no fundamental deterioration signals visible — the company remains operationally sound. However, the macro environment is materially adverse: VIX at 28.18 is in the 98th percentile of the trailing year (-1), the 10Y yield at 4.84% is well above the 4.5% threshold and is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), and there is a complete absence of positive insider activity, unusual call flow, or any confirming buy signals. Net signal score: +2 positives, -2 negatives = 0 net. With a neutral net score and no anchor positive signal (no cluster buy, no unusual calls), the framework calls for a skip. Starting from the ~57% base rate and applying a ~15pt drag for the hostile macro environment (elevated VIX + high yields + sector in freefall) with no offsetting insider/options confirmation, rebound probability is adjusted down to approximately 0.42.
- !Nov 11, 9:21 AMsignalseverity 0.20
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — dip_skipped
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). The drop appears to be sector-wide rather than idiosyncratic, as the IT sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength and is underperforming SPY by 11.37pts over 30 days (+1). There are no imminent earnings, no recent negative filings, and no fundamental deterioration signals visible — the company remains operationally sound. However, the macro environment is materially adverse: VIX at 28.18 is in the 98th percentile of the trailing year (-1), the 10Y yield at 4.84% is well above the 4.5% threshold and is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), and there is a complete absence of positive insider activity, unusual call flow, or any confirming buy signals. Net signal score: +2 positives, -2 negatives = 0 net. With a neutral net score and no anchor positive signal (no cluster buy, no unusual calls), the framework calls for a skip. Starting from the ~57% base rate and applying a ~15pt drag for the hostile macro environment (elevated VIX + high yields + sector in freefall) with no offsetting insider/options confirmation, rebound probability is adjusted down to approximately 0.42.
- ?Nov 11, 9:21 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high with no visible fundamental catalyst explaining the drop — no negative earnings, no SEC filings, and no insider selling. The decline appears to be sector-driven: IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5- and 30-day windows, ranked 11 of 11 by relative strength, suggesting ON is caught in a broad semiconductor/tech selloff rather than idiosyncratic impairment. Today's broad market bounce (QQQ +2.83%, SPY +1.88%) and VXX collapsing -9.66% provide some near-term tailwind, but the macro environment is hostile — VIX at the 98th percentile, 10Y yields at 4.84%, and persistent sector underperformance weigh heavily against a quick rebound.
- ?Nov 10, 7:31 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 4 — Dip Buyer (Frozen) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor (ON) is down ~19.9% from its 30-day high with no company-specific negative news headlines or recent SEC filings to explain the drop, suggesting the move may be macro- or sector-driven rather than fundamental deterioration. ON is a well-established power and analog semiconductor firm with strong exposure to automotive and industrial end markets; its balance sheet and earnings profile have historically been solid. However, the macro backdrop shows elevated fed funds rate (~3.88%, 2σ above trend), which pressures growth/cyclical names like semiconductors and raises the discount rate on future earnings, partially justifying the drawdown.
- ?Nov 10, 2:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high with no visible fundamental catalyst explaining the drop — no negative earnings, no SEC filings, and no insider selling. The decline appears to be sector-driven: IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5- and 30-day windows, ranked 11 of 11 by relative strength, suggesting ON is caught in a broad semiconductor/tech selloff rather than idiosyncratic impairment. Today's broad market bounce (QQQ +2.83%, SPY +1.88%) and VXX collapsing -9.66% provide some near-term tailwind, but the macro environment is hostile — VIX at the 98th percentile, 10Y yields at 4.84%, and persistent sector underperformance weigh heavily against a quick rebound.
- ?Nov 10, 2:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). The drop appears to be sector-wide rather than idiosyncratic, as the IT sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength and is underperforming SPY by 11.37pts over 30 days (+1). There are no imminent earnings, no recent negative filings, and no fundamental deterioration signals visible — the company remains operationally sound. However, the macro environment is materially adverse: VIX at 28.18 is in the 98th percentile of the trailing year (-1), the 10Y yield at 4.84% is well above the 4.5% threshold and is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), and there is a complete absence of positive insider activity, unusual call flow, or any confirming buy signals. Net signal score: +2 positives, -2 negatives = 0 net. With a neutral net score and no anchor positive signal (no cluster buy, no unusual calls), the framework calls for a skip. Starting from the ~57% base rate and applying a ~15pt drag for the hostile macro environment (elevated VIX + high yields + sector in freefall) with no offsetting insider/options confirmation, rebound probability is adjusted down to approximately 0.42.
- ?Nov 10, 1:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). The drop appears to be sector-wide rather than idiosyncratic, as the IT sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength and is underperforming SPY by 11.37pts over 30 days (+1). There are no imminent earnings, no recent negative filings, and no fundamental deterioration signals visible — the company remains operationally sound. However, the macro environment is materially adverse: VIX at 28.18 is in the 98th percentile of the trailing year (-1), the 10Y yield at 4.84% is well above the 4.5% threshold and is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), and there is a complete absence of positive insider activity, unusual call flow, or any confirming buy signals. Net signal score: +2 positives, -2 negatives = 0 net. With a neutral net score and no anchor positive signal (no cluster buy, no unusual calls), the framework calls for a skip. Starting from the ~57% base rate and applying a ~15pt drag for the hostile macro environment (elevated VIX + high yields + sector in freefall) with no offsetting insider/options confirmation, rebound probability is adjusted down to approximately 0.42.
- ?Nov 10, 1:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high with no visible fundamental catalyst explaining the drop — no negative earnings, no SEC filings, and no insider selling. The decline appears to be sector-driven: IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5- and 30-day windows, ranked 11 of 11 by relative strength, suggesting ON is caught in a broad semiconductor/tech selloff rather than idiosyncratic impairment. Today's broad market bounce (QQQ +2.83%, SPY +1.88%) and VXX collapsing -9.66% provide some near-term tailwind, but the macro environment is hostile — VIX at the 98th percentile, 10Y yields at 4.84%, and persistent sector underperformance weigh heavily against a quick rebound.
- ?Nov 10, 12:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). The drop appears to be sector-wide rather than idiosyncratic, as the IT sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength and is underperforming SPY by 11.37pts over 30 days (+1). There are no imminent earnings, no recent negative filings, and no fundamental deterioration signals visible — the company remains operationally sound. However, the macro environment is materially adverse: VIX at 28.18 is in the 98th percentile of the trailing year (-1), the 10Y yield at 4.84% is well above the 4.5% threshold and is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), and there is a complete absence of positive insider activity, unusual call flow, or any confirming buy signals. Net signal score: +2 positives, -2 negatives = 0 net. With a neutral net score and no anchor positive signal (no cluster buy, no unusual calls), the framework calls for a skip. Starting from the ~57% base rate and applying a ~15pt drag for the hostile macro environment (elevated VIX + high yields + sector in freefall) with no offsetting insider/options confirmation, rebound probability is adjusted down to approximately 0.42.
- ?Nov 10, 12:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high with no visible fundamental catalyst explaining the drop — no negative earnings, no SEC filings, and no insider selling. The decline appears to be sector-driven: IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5- and 30-day windows, ranked 11 of 11 by relative strength, suggesting ON is caught in a broad semiconductor/tech selloff rather than idiosyncratic impairment. Today's broad market bounce (QQQ +2.83%, SPY +1.88%) and VXX collapsing -9.66% provide some near-term tailwind, but the macro environment is hostile — VIX at the 98th percentile, 10Y yields at 4.84%, and persistent sector underperformance weigh heavily against a quick rebound.
- ?Nov 10, 11:20 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). The drop appears to be sector-wide rather than idiosyncratic, as the IT sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength and is underperforming SPY by 11.37pts over 30 days (+1). There are no imminent earnings, no recent negative filings, and no fundamental deterioration signals visible — the company remains operationally sound. However, the macro environment is materially adverse: VIX at 28.18 is in the 98th percentile of the trailing year (-1), the 10Y yield at 4.84% is well above the 4.5% threshold and is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), and there is a complete absence of positive insider activity, unusual call flow, or any confirming buy signals. Net signal score: +2 positives, -2 negatives = 0 net. With a neutral net score and no anchor positive signal (no cluster buy, no unusual calls), the framework calls for a skip. Starting from the ~57% base rate and applying a ~15pt drag for the hostile macro environment (elevated VIX + high yields + sector in freefall) with no offsetting insider/options confirmation, rebound probability is adjusted down to approximately 0.42.
- ?Nov 10, 11:20 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high with no visible fundamental catalyst explaining the drop — no negative earnings, no SEC filings, and no insider selling. The decline appears to be sector-driven: IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5- and 30-day windows, ranked 11 of 11 by relative strength, suggesting ON is caught in a broad semiconductor/tech selloff rather than idiosyncratic impairment. Today's broad market bounce (QQQ +2.83%, SPY +1.88%) and VXX collapsing -9.66% provide some near-term tailwind, but the macro environment is hostile — VIX at the 98th percentile, 10Y yields at 4.84%, and persistent sector underperformance weigh heavily against a quick rebound.
- ?Nov 10, 9:35 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 7 — Day Trader — decide: skip
ON is down ~2.41% intraday with no attributable headline, suggesting this is likely technical or sector-driven selling rather than a news-catalyzed event. The macro context shows elevated DFF (fed funds rate 2.0σ above 24-month trend), which is marginally negative for growth/semiconductor names like ON Semiconductor, as higher rates compress multiples on cyclical tech. With 370 minutes remaining (over 6 hours, suggesting this is early-to-mid session), there is ample time for the move to extend. However, absence of a clear catalyst means the selling could be thin or exhaustion-driven rather than sustained institutional flow. No reversal signals are evident, and the move is at the lower boundary of the 2-5% 'meaningful' threshold. On balance, the combination of elevated rate environment (mild sector headwind), no counter-catalyst, and sufficient time remaining gives a slight lean toward continuation. Probability stays close to the cutoff given uncertainty about the driver.
- ?Nov 9, 12:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high with no visible fundamental catalyst explaining the drop — no negative earnings, no SEC filings, and no insider selling. The decline appears to be sector-driven: IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5- and 30-day windows, ranked 11 of 11 by relative strength, suggesting ON is caught in a broad semiconductor/tech selloff rather than idiosyncratic impairment. Today's broad market bounce (QQQ +2.83%, SPY +1.88%) and VXX collapsing -9.66% provide some near-term tailwind, but the macro environment is hostile — VIX at the 98th percentile, 10Y yields at 4.84%, and persistent sector underperformance weigh heavily against a quick rebound.
- ?Nov 9, 12:20 PMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). The drop appears to be sector-wide rather than idiosyncratic, as the IT sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength and is underperforming SPY by 11.37pts over 30 days (+1). There are no imminent earnings, no recent negative filings, and no fundamental deterioration signals visible — the company remains operationally sound. However, the macro environment is materially adverse: VIX at 28.18 is in the 98th percentile of the trailing year (-1), the 10Y yield at 4.84% is well above the 4.5% threshold and is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), and there is a complete absence of positive insider activity, unusual call flow, or any confirming buy signals. Net signal score: +2 positives, -2 negatives = 0 net. With a neutral net score and no anchor positive signal (no cluster buy, no unusual calls), the framework calls for a skip. Starting from the ~57% base rate and applying a ~15pt drag for the hostile macro environment (elevated VIX + high yields + sector in freefall) with no offsetting insider/options confirmation, rebound probability is adjusted down to approximately 0.42.
- ?Nov 9, 11:20 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high with no visible fundamental catalyst explaining the drop — no negative earnings, no SEC filings, and no insider selling. The decline appears to be sector-driven: IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5- and 30-day windows, ranked 11 of 11 by relative strength, suggesting ON is caught in a broad semiconductor/tech selloff rather than idiosyncratic impairment. Today's broad market bounce (QQQ +2.83%, SPY +1.88%) and VXX collapsing -9.66% provide some near-term tailwind, but the macro environment is hostile — VIX at the 98th percentile, 10Y yields at 4.84%, and persistent sector underperformance weigh heavily against a quick rebound.
- ?Nov 9, 11:20 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). The drop appears to be sector-wide rather than idiosyncratic, as the IT sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength and is underperforming SPY by 11.37pts over 30 days (+1). There are no imminent earnings, no recent negative filings, and no fundamental deterioration signals visible — the company remains operationally sound. However, the macro environment is materially adverse: VIX at 28.18 is in the 98th percentile of the trailing year (-1), the 10Y yield at 4.84% is well above the 4.5% threshold and is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), and there is a complete absence of positive insider activity, unusual call flow, or any confirming buy signals. Net signal score: +2 positives, -2 negatives = 0 net. With a neutral net score and no anchor positive signal (no cluster buy, no unusual calls), the framework calls for a skip. Starting from the ~57% base rate and applying a ~15pt drag for the hostile macro environment (elevated VIX + high yields + sector in freefall) with no offsetting insider/options confirmation, rebound probability is adjusted down to approximately 0.42.
- ?Nov 9, 10:21 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a meaningful mean-reversion candidate (+1). The drop appears to be sector-wide rather than idiosyncratic, as the IT sector (XLK) is ranked dead last (11/11) in 30-day relative strength and is underperforming SPY by 11.37pts over 30 days (+1). There are no imminent earnings, no recent negative filings, and no fundamental deterioration signals visible — the company remains operationally sound. However, the macro environment is materially adverse: VIX at 28.18 is in the 98th percentile of the trailing year (-1), the 10Y yield at 4.84% is well above the 4.5% threshold and is a structural headwind for a growth-sensitive semiconductor name (-1), and there is a complete absence of positive insider activity, unusual call flow, or any confirming buy signals. Net signal score: +2 positives, -2 negatives = 0 net. With a neutral net score and no anchor positive signal (no cluster buy, no unusual calls), the framework calls for a skip. Starting from the ~57% base rate and applying a ~15pt drag for the hostile macro environment (elevated VIX + high yields + sector in freefall) with no offsetting insider/options confirmation, rebound probability is adjusted down to approximately 0.42.
- ?Nov 9, 10:21 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 22.3% from its 30-day high with no visible fundamental catalyst explaining the drop — no negative earnings, no SEC filings, and no insider selling. The decline appears to be sector-driven: IT (XLK) is the worst-performing sector over both 5- and 30-day windows, ranked 11 of 11 by relative strength, suggesting ON is caught in a broad semiconductor/tech selloff rather than idiosyncratic impairment. Today's broad market bounce (QQQ +2.83%, SPY +1.88%) and VXX collapsing -9.66% provide some near-term tailwind, but the macro environment is hostile — VIX at the 98th percentile, 10Y yields at 4.84%, and persistent sector underperformance weigh heavily against a quick rebound.
- ?Nov 9, 9:20 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 27% from its 30-day high in a brutal broad-market tape (QQQ -5.88%, SPY -3.99%, VXX +27%) with the IT sector ranking dead last (11 of 11) in 30-day relative strength and underperforming SPY by -9.51pts over 30 days. While the sector-wide weakness suggests this is not purely idiosyncratic, the magnitude of ON's drop (27%) significantly exceeds sector peers, implying company-specific pressure layered on top of macro headwinds. There are no confirmation signals whatsoever — no insider cluster buys, no unusual call flow, no SEC filings to assess fundamentals, and no analyst upgrade catalysts visible. The macro backdrop is additionally challenging: 10Y at 4.95% is a structural headwind for growth-sensitive semis, and the sharp VXX spike signals acute risk-off conditions that could persist.
- ?Nov 9, 9:20 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 27% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a significant mean-reversion candidate, but the broader context is severely adverse. Today's market shows a sharp broad-based sell-off (SPY -4%, QQQ -5.88%, IWM -4.3%, VXX +26.4%), indicating acute macro/risk-off stress rather than idiosyncratic dip noise. ON ranks dead last (11 of 11) in its sector on 30-day relative strength, underperforming even a weak sector by -9.51pts vs SPY — this combination of sector freefall and macro deterioration triggers the Step 1 veto on "sector in freefall AND macro in acute deterioration simultaneously." Signal scoring also yields a poor net score: sector underperformance earns +1 and drop magnitude earns +1, but high 10Y yield (4.95%) scores -1, today's violent risk-off (a form of acute macro stress) scores -1, no insider buys or unusual call flow, and no SEC filings to confirm fundamental soundness — netting to roughly 0 or slightly negative with veto conditions present.
- ?Nov 9, 6:01 AMdecisionconsidered
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) — decide: skip
ON Semiconductor is down 27% from its 30-day high, which qualifies as a significant mean-reversion candidate, but the broader context is severely adverse. Today's market shows a sharp broad-based sell-off (SPY -4%, QQQ -5.88%, IWM -4.3%, VXX +26.4%), indicating acute macro/risk-off stress rather than idiosyncratic dip noise. ON ranks dead last (11 of 11) in its sector on 30-day relative strength, underperforming even a weak sector by -9.51pts vs SPY — this combination of sector freefall and macro deterioration triggers the Step 1 veto on "sector in freefall AND macro in acute deterioration simultaneously." Signal scoring also yields a poor net score: sector underperformance earns +1 and drop magnitude earns +1, but high 10Y yield (4.95%) scores -1, today's violent risk-off (a form of acute macro stress) scores -1, no insider buys or unusual call flow, and no SEC filings to confirm fundamental soundness — netting to roughly 0 or slightly negative with veto conditions present.
- ❖Nov 5, 8:15 AMnewsvia finnhub
3 AI Stocks With At Least 12% Revenue Growth
Central banks are tightening again, with the Bank of England lifting rates to 4% as policymakers react to stubborn inflation and higher energy costs linked to the Iran war. Expensive money can squeeze many sectors, yet it also focuses attention on businesses tied to long term trends that are still attracting heavy spending, like the chips that power AI. This article highlights three US semiconductor supply chain stocks from our screener that fit that story. The three stocks below are a sample...
- ❖Nov 5, 7:14 AMnewsvia finnhub
Micron Technology And 2 AI Chip Stocks To Improve Your Portfolio
Corporate earnings are currently growing at a pace last seen in 1984, powered heavily by large tech groups pouring money into AI hardware. That spending spree puts the companies designing chips and supplying the factories that build them under a bright spotlight. This article breaks down three stocks from a focused AI hardware supply chain screener so you can see which businesses sit closest to that spending firehose. The stocks covered below are just a sample, and the full semiconductor...
- ▣Nov 4, 7:00 PMjournalstop
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) closed long 27 @ $63.89 (-$279.85)
intraday stop sweep
- ▣Nov 4, 7:00 PMjournalstop
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) closed long 29 @ $65.79 (-$222.87)
intraday stop sweep
- ❖Nov 4, 12:25 PMnewsvia finnhub
Citigroup Maintains Neutral on ON Semiconductor, Lowers Price Target to $80
Citigroup analyst Atif Malik maintains ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $98 to $80.
- ❖Nov 4, 9:52 AMnewsvia finnhub
Semtech shares are trading lower. The company reported Q4 financial results.
- ❖Nov 4, 9:52 AMnewsvia finnhub
Navitas Soars 6% as AI Infrastructure Pivot Delivers Revenue Beat: “Breaking the Power Wall”
Key TakeawaysNavitas Semiconductor shares jumped 6% after third-quarter revenue of $14. 0 million beat estimates.
- ❖Nov 4, 8:49 AMnewsvia finnhub
Why Is Monolithic Power Stock Going Up?
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
- ❖Nov 4, 7:13 AMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?
ON Semiconductor has outperformed the broader market despite trailing its sector benchmark, while strong earnings growth and bullish analyst sentiment support optimism.
- ❖Nov 4, 6:53 AMnewsvia finnhub
Can Semtech Stock Hit $190?
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
- ❖Nov 4, 6:25 AMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor Q3 Earnings: A Potential 12.7% FCF Yield If Management Delivers
- ❖Nov 4, 5:12 AMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor: AI-Driven Content Growth And Marquee Cloud Customers - Dip Buying Opportunity
ON Semiconductor is a buy as the data center/industrial capex tailwinds drive AI-driven growth and monetization opportunities. Read why ON stock is a buy.
- ❖Nov 4, 12:03 AMnewsvia finnhub
Onsemi delays auto restocking as AI sales jump 175%
The chipmaker is prioritizing AI and industrial customers, temporarily delaying some automakers’ inventory orders.
- ❖Nov 3, 8:33 PMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor Corporation 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-11-04. The following slide deck was published by ON Semiconductor Corporation in conjunction with their 2026 Q3 earnings call.
- ❖Nov 3, 2:50 PMnewsvia finnhub
Navitas Soars 8% on onsemi’s 175% AI Data Center Jump Ahead of Its Own Report
Key TakeawaysNavitas Semiconductor jumped 8% today after onsemi said its AI data center revenue grew 175% from a year earlier. onsemi’s $600 million deal for Ferric puts a much bigger rival in the race Navitas is running.
- ❖Nov 3, 1:24 PMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor earnings analysis: questions answered and next catalysts
Investing.com -- ON Semiconductor (ON) beat on both lines in Q3 FY2026 (reported Nov 2, 2026), yet the stock fell 2.18% to $70.11 and slipped further after hours. It is now rebounding: $72.92, +4.01% as of Nov 3, 12:49 PM EST. The pattern is familiar. The company has beaten EPS four quarters running, with surprises of 3–5%. The price reaction has been muted or negative in three of those four.
- ❖Nov 3, 12:14 PMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor (ON) Stock Looks Fairly Valued After AI Revenue News
ON Semiconductor has delivered a strong 38.9% gain over the past year, even as recent weeks have been choppy. That puts a spotlight on whether the current share price lines up with the cash the business is expected to generate. With investors focused on AI related demand and acquisitions, the question now is how much of that story is already reflected in the stock. That 38.9% one year return means anyone buying today is paying materially more than a year ago. The key issue is whether the...
- ❖Nov 3, 11:45 AMnewsvia finnhub
Lattice Semiconductor Is Riding the AI Server Wave to Big Growth
Lattice Semiconductor expects its revenue to grow at least 60% year over year in 2027.
- ❖Nov 3, 10:39 AMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor beats earnings estimates as AI revenue surges
Onsemi (NASDAQ:ON) forecasted fourth-quarter adjusted earnings above analyst expectations after beating third-quarter profit and revenue estimates. The company expects adjusted earnings of $0.95 to $1.07 a share, putting the $1.01 midpoint above the $0.88 consensus estimate. Its revenue...
- ❖Nov 3, 10:15 AMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor (ON) Beat Expectations, Is The Stock Still Cheap?
ON Semiconductor (ON) just posted third quarter 2026 results that beat Wall Street forecasts, reporting US$1.72 billion in revenue and US$313.9 million in profit, and issued higher guidance for the next quarter. ON Semiconductor shares have come under pressure recently, with the 30 day share price return down 17.41% and the 90 day share price return down 13.21%, even as the year to date share price return is still up 23.65% and the 1 year total shareholder return sits at 38.94%. This...
- ❖Nov 3, 10:05 AMnewsvia finnhub
ON Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Strong AI Data Center Aids Top Line
ON Semiconductor's Q3'26 earnings and revenues beat estimates as AI data center growth surges, industrial demand strengthens and margins expand.
- ❖Nov 3, 9:40 AMnewsvia finnhub
Cloudflare upgraded, Marvell downgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls
Cloudflare upgraded, Marvell downgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls
- ❖Nov 3, 9:25 AMnewsvia finnhub
ON Q3 Earnings Call Highlights AI Growth and Margin Expansion
ON Semiconductor expects AI data center revenues to double in 2027, fueled by surging demand and new products, while industrial growth and manufacturing efficiencies boost margins.
- ❖Nov 3, 9:02 AMnewsvia finnhub
Apple, Palantir, Marvell, AMD, Sandisk, Shopify, and More Stocks That Explain Today’s Market
Apple slides after the iPhone maker’s guidance fails to meet investors’ high bar.
- ❖Nov 3, 8:51 AMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor Shares Rise 3% as Q3 Earnings Beat Forecasts and AI Data Centre Outlook Strengthens
ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) shares climbed more than 3% in US premarket trading on Tuesday after the chipmaker reported third-quarter 2026 earnings above analyst expectations and issued stronger-than-anticipated guidance for the fourth quarter. The company also announced plans to acquire integrated voltage regulator specialist Ferric for up to $775 million and revised the terms of its proposed acquisition of Synaptics.
- ❖Nov 3, 8:30 AMnewsvia finnhub
Compared to Estimates, ON Semiconductor Corp. (ON) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
The headline numbers for ON Semiconductor Corp. (ON) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended September 2026, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the year-ago actuals.
- ❖Nov 3, 8:30 AMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor Corporation Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Moby summary of ON Semiconductor Corporation's Q3 2026 earnings call
- ❖Nov 3, 7:57 AMnewsvia finnhub
Truist Securities Maintains Hold on ON Semiconductor, Raises Price Target to $76
Truist Securities analyst William Stein maintains ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) with a Hold and raises the price target from $75 to $76.
- ❖Nov 3, 7:26 AMnewsvia finnhub
B. Riley Securities Maintains Buy on ON Semiconductor, Lowers Price Target to $97
B. Riley Securities analyst Craig Ellis maintains ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $105 to $97.
- ❖Nov 3, 7:06 AMnewsvia finnhub
TD Cowen Reiterates Hold on ON Semiconductor, Maintains $75 Price Target
TD Cowen analyst Joshua Buchalter reiterates ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) with a Hold and maintains $75 price target.
- ❖Nov 3, 6:46 AMnewsvia finnhub
Evercore ISI Group Maintains Outperform on ON Semiconductor, Lowers Price Target to $90
Evercore ISI Group analyst Mark Lipacis maintains ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $137 to $90.
- ❖Nov 3, 6:42 AMnewsvia finnhub
Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight on ON Semiconductor, Lowers Price Target to $90
Wells Fargo analyst Joe Quatrochi maintains ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $100 to $90.
- ❖Nov 3, 6:25 AMnewsvia finnhub
Apple, Palantir, AMD, Sandisk, Onsemi, and More Stocks That Explain Today’s Market
AI stocks stage a comeback, but Apple slides after the iPhone maker’s guidance fails to meet investors’ high bar.
- ❖Nov 3, 3:47 AMnewsvia finnhub
Rosenblatt Maintains Neutral on ON Semiconductor, Lowers Price Target to $80
Rosenblatt analyst Kevin Cassidy maintains ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $85 to $80.
- ❖Nov 3, 3:28 AMnewsvia finnhub
Why Is ON Semiconductor Stock Gaining Tuesday?
ON Semiconductor beats Q3 estimates, buys Ferric for $600M to boost AI power delivery, and raises its long-term AI data center target.
- ❖Nov 3, 3:18 AMnewsvia finnhub
Needham Reiterates Buy on ON Semiconductor, Maintains $116 Price Target
Needham analyst N. Quinn Bolton reiterates ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) with a Buy and maintains $116 price target.
- ❖Nov 3, 2:36 AMnewsvia finnhub
Cantor Fitzgerald Reiterates Neutral on ON Semiconductor, Maintains $90 Price Target
Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Matthew Prisco reiterates ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) with a Neutral and maintains $90 price target.
- ❖Nov 3, 2:04 AMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor Corp (ON) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: AI Data Center Revenue Surges 175% ...
ON Semiconductor Corp (ON) beat Q3 guidance on revenue, gross margin, and EPS, guided Q4 above consensus, and raised its 2030 AI Data Center target to over $3 billion with the Ferric acquisition.
- ❖Nov 2, 11:43 PMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor (ON) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
AI data center revenue surged 175% year over year as supply constraints redirected capacity.
- ❖Nov 2, 11:28 PMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor Corp.: Q3 Earnings Snapshot
(ON) on Monday reported third-quarter profit of $313.On a per-share basis, the Scottsdale, Arizona-based company said it had net income of 79 cents.
- ❖Nov 2, 8:14 PMnewsvia finnhub
onsemi Q3 Earnings Call Highlights
onsemi (NASDAQ:ON) reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $1.72 billion, up 7% sequentially and 11% from a year earlier, as accelerating demand from AI data centers and improving industrial markets helped offset a short-term supply allocation shift away from automotive inventory replenishment. The
- ▢Nov 2, 7:00 PMjournal
Agent 7 — Day Trader opened long 41 @ $71.32
- ▣Nov 2, 7:00 PMjournaltarget
Agent 7 — Day Trader closed long 41 @ $73.55 (+$91.63)
Long target: close $73.55 ≥ target $73.45
- ▢Nov 2, 7:00 PMjournal
Agent 7 — Day Trader opened long 41 @ $72.75
- ▣Nov 2, 7:00 PMjournalstop
Agent 7 — Day Trader closed long 41 @ $71.47 (-$52.68)
Long stop: close $71.47 ≤ stop $71.66
- ▢Nov 2, 7:00 PMjournal
Agent 7 — Day Trader opened long 41 @ $71.22
- ▣Nov 2, 7:00 PMjournaltime_stop
Agent 7 — Day Trader closed long 41 @ $72.45 (+$50.63)
EOD forced close — day trader never carries overnight
- ▢Nov 2, 7:00 PMjournal
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) opened long 29 @ $73.47
- ❖Nov 2, 6:39 PMnewsvia finnhub
Two Analog Chip Stocks Buoy Philadelphia Semiconductor Index
Two analog chip stocks rose Monday and helped to offset losses among AI and PC chip stocks on the SOX index.
- ❖Nov 2, 5:07 PMnewsvia finnhub
Onsemi Shares Fall Despite Earnings Beat. Why Its AI Data Center Growth Wasn’t Enough.
The company has big aspirations for growing its artificial intelligence business.
- ❖Nov 2, 5:03 PMnewsvia finnhub
onsemi (NASDAQ:ON) Q3: beats on revenue
Analog chipmaker onsemi (NASDAQ:ON) announced better-than-expected revenue in Q3 2026, with revenue up 11.1% year on year to $1.72 billion. Guidance for next quarter’s revenue was better than expected at $1.77 billion at the midpoint, 1.6% above analysts’ consensus estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.90 per share was 2.5% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
- ·Nov 2, 5:00 PMstreamworld_news
ON Semiconductor stock declines on Q3 results and weak guidance despite Ferric acquisition.
Sectors: Semiconductors · Tickers: ON
- ·Nov 2, 5:00 PMstreamworld_news
ON Semiconductor acquires Ferric for $600M, raises 2030 AI data center revenue target.
Sectors: Semiconductors · Tickers: ON
- ❖Nov 2, 4:48 PMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor shares fall despite earnings beat
Investing.com -- ON Semiconductor Corporation stock dropped roughly 4% in after-hours trading on Monday following the release of its third-quarter financial results.
- ❖Nov 2, 4:28 PMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- ❖Nov 2, 4:25 PMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor Corp. (ON) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
ON Semiconductor Corp. (ON) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +2.27% and +0.94%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
- ❖Nov 2, 4:10 PMnewsvia finnhub
onsemi Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results
Earnings growth outpaces revenue growth by 4x year-over-year SCOTTSDALE, Ariz., Nov. 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- onsemi (the “Company”) (Nasdaq: ON) today announced its third quarter 2026 results with the following highlights: Revenue of $1,722 million, increased 11% year-over-yearGAAP gross margin of 41.4% and non-GAAP gross margin of 41.2%GAAP operating margin of 22.0% and non-GAAP operating margin 23.2%GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.79 and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share $0.90Cash
- ❖Nov 2, 4:05 PMnewsvia finnhub
onsemi to Acquire Ferric, Establishing Leadership in Power Delivery for Next-Generation AI Processors
Acquisition expands AI Data Center revenue opportunity News Highlights: Establishes onsemi as a leader in integrated voltage regulator (IVR) technology with best-in-class power density required for next-generation AI processorsCombines Ferric's engineering talent with expertise in magnetics and power conversion with onsemi's productization capabilities, operating scale and customer relationshipsRaises onsemi’s 2030 AI data center revenue target by $500 million to greater than $3 billion, with ac
- ❖Nov 2, 2:45 PMnewsvia finnhub
FPA Queens Road Small Cap Value Fund Reduces Its Stake in Synaptics (SYNA) Following Onsemi Acquisition Deal
Investment management company First Pacific Advisors recently released its “FPA Queens Road Small Cap Value Fund” Q3 2026 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. The Fund returned -7.62% in the third quarter of 2026, underperforming the Russell 2000 Value Index, which fell 4.91%. However, the Fund’s year-to-date return of 17.35% exceeded […]
- ❖Nov 2, 2:02 PMnewsvia finnhub
ON Semiconductor Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) reported third-quarter financial results on Monday. The transcript from the company’s third-quarter earnings call has been provided below.This transcript is brought to you by Benzinga APIs.
- ❖Nov 2, 12:55 PMnewsvia finnhub
Analog Chip Stocks Buoy Philadelphia Semiconductor Index
Analog chip stocks rose Monday and helped to offset losses among PC and memory chip stocks on the SOX index.
- ▣Oct 29, 8:00 PMjournalstop
Agent 4 — Dip Buyer (Frozen) closed long 13 @ $71.23 (-$81.64)
intraday stop sweep
- ▢Oct 8, 8:00 PMjournal
Agent 4 — Dip Buyer (Frozen) opened long 13 @ $77.51
- ▣Oct 7, 8:00 PMjournaltarget
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) closed long 18 @ $79.21 (+$29.31)
Trailing stop on remainder: close $79.21 ≤ floor $80.27 (peak $86.31 × 0.93; floor at entry $77.58)
- ▣Oct 4, 8:00 PMjournaltarget
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) closed long 18 @ $85.62 (+$144.69)
Staged exit (1/2.0): close $85.62 ≥ target $85.55. Selling 18/36 sh, trailing remainder.
- ▢Oct 4, 8:00 PMjournal
Agent 7 — Day Trader opened long 34 @ $86.22
- ▣Oct 4, 8:00 PMjournaltime_stop
Agent 7 — Day Trader closed long 34 @ $86.20 (-$0.68)
EOD forced close — day trader never carries overnight
- ·Oct 1, 5:15 PMstreamworld_news
Onsemi acquires Synaptics for $123/share in cash deal.
Sectors: Semiconductors · Tickers: ON
- ·Oct 1, 5:00 PMstreamworld_news
onsemi and Synaptics announce revised merger terms with improved shareholder value.
Sectors: Semiconductors · Tickers: ON
- ▢Sep 23, 8:00 PMjournal
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) opened long 18 @ $77.58
- ▢Sep 23, 8:00 PMjournal
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) opened long 18 @ $77.58
- ▢Aug 23, 8:00 PMjournal
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) opened long 27 @ $74.25
- ▣Jul 16, 8:00 PMjournalstop
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) closed long 12 @ $84.40 (-$97.80)
intraday stop sweep
- ▣Jul 15, 8:00 PMjournalstop
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) closed long 10 @ $87.93 (-$80.50)
intraday stop sweep
- ▢Jul 14, 8:00 PMjournal
Agent 5 — Dip Buyer (Evolving) opened long 12 @ $92.55
- ▢Jul 9, 8:00 PMjournal
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) opened long 10 @ $95.98
- ▢Jul 8, 8:00 PMjournal
Agent 7 — Day Trader opened long 29 @ $99.85
- ▣Jul 8, 8:00 PMjournaltime_stop
Agent 7 — Day Trader closed long 29 @ $98.98 (-$25.08)
EOD forced close — day trader never carries overnight
- ▣Jun 7, 8:00 PMjournalstop
options_momentum closed long 100 @ $6.83 (-$325.03)
Stop: premium $6.83 ≤ trailing floor $11.46 (peak $15.28 × 0.75)
- ▣Jun 4, 8:00 PMjournaltarget
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) closed long 10 @ $118.01 (+$78.03)
Trailing stop on remainder: close $118.01 ≤ floor $124.55 (peak $133.93 × 0.93; floor at entry $110.21)
- ▢Jun 1, 8:00 PMjournal
Agent 7 — Day Trader opened long 11 @ $127.59
- ▣Jun 1, 8:00 PMjournaltime_stop
Agent 7 — Day Trader closed long 11 @ $128.16 (+$6.21)
EOD forced close — day trader never carries overnight
- ▢May 27, 8:00 PMjournal
options_momentum opened long 100 @ $10.08
- ▣May 25, 8:00 PMjournaltarget
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) closed long 6 @ $127.00 (+$125.76)
Staged exit (1/2.0): close $127.00 ≥ target $119.10. Selling 6/13 sh, trailing remainder.
- ▢May 21, 8:00 PMjournal
Agent 7 — Day Trader opened long 16 @ $116.40
- ▣May 21, 8:00 PMjournaltime_stop
Agent 7 — Day Trader closed long 16 @ $116.69 (+$4.64)
EOD forced close — day trader never carries overnight
- ▣May 18, 8:00 PMjournalstop
options_momentum closed long 100 @ $2.45 (-$559.33)
Stop: premium $2.45 ≤ trailing floor $6.03 (peak $8.04 × 0.75)
- ▢May 18, 8:00 PMjournal
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) opened long 6 @ $106.04
- ▢May 18, 8:00 PMjournal
Agent 8 — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware) opened long 10 @ $110.21
- ▢May 13, 8:00 PMjournal
options_momentum opened long 100 @ $8.04