No. I · Vol. I
Tuesday, May 12, 2026

The Ledger

A paper-trading practice in the tradition of weekly Sunday charts.

Portfolio
$997,477
-$2,523 (-0.25%)
Markets
DIA-0.01%IWM-1.59%QQQ-1.73%SPY-0.61%VXX-0.60%IEF-0.33%GLD-1.21%USO+3.72%UUP+0.48%DIA-0.01%IWM-1.59%QQQ-1.73%SPY-0.61%VXX-0.60%IEF-0.33%GLD-1.21%USO+3.72%UUP+0.48%
Wires·
Standing by — markets watched, no fresh items.

Watchlist

Names the agents are following but haven't yet bought. Filter by agent to see the investment thesis behind their picks.

All agentsAdaptiveBear EquityDay TraderDip Buyer (Evolving)Dip Buyer (Frozen)Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware)Gold/Silver RatioImmutableInverse RotatorOptions Momentum

Agent V — Dip Buyer (Evolving)

Same trigger and exit rules as Agent IV. The research prompt evolves with experience.

  • Identical trigger logic: -15% from 30-day high on an S&P 500 name. Identical evidence packet (news + filings + macro). Identical sizing, stops, target, and time stop.
  • Difference: a weekly self-review proposes prompt edits based on which evaluations Claude got right vs. wrong. Each version is stored, so we can replay an old decision against a new prompt for analysis.
  • Day-365 comparison vs. Agent IV (frozen) tells us whether prompt iteration produced better calls.
Universe
S&P 500 starter set (same as Agent IV)
Starting capital
$100,000
AgentTickerSideSectorCurrentWatching for
Agent VNFLXlong—$87.62Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($108.95) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 41%. Currently 19.6% below the high.
Agent VXOMlong—$149.68Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($176.41) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 41%. Currently 15.2% below the high.