No. I · Vol. I
Tuesday, May 12, 2026

The Ledger

A paper-trading practice in the tradition of weekly Sunday charts.

Portfolio
$997,477
-$2,523 (-0.25%)
Markets
DIA-0.01%IWM-1.59%QQQ-1.73%SPY-0.61%VXX-0.60%IEF-0.33%GLD-1.21%USO+3.72%UUP+0.48%DIA-0.01%IWM-1.59%QQQ-1.73%SPY-0.61%VXX-0.60%IEF-0.33%GLD-1.21%USO+3.72%UUP+0.48%
Wires·
Standing by — markets watched, no fresh items.

Watchlist

Names the agents are following but haven't yet bought. Filter by agent to see the investment thesis behind their picks.

All agentsAdaptiveBear EquityDay TraderDip Buyer (Evolving)Dip Buyer (Frozen)Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware)Gold/Silver RatioImmutableInverse RotatorOptions Momentum

Agent VIII — Dip Buyer (Peer-Aware)

Same trigger and exit rules as Agent V. Sees how other agents are performing before each call.

  • Identical trigger, evidence packet, sizing, stops, target, and time stop as Agents IV and V.
  • On every Claude call, the prompt includes a snapshot of each peer agent's current equity, return percent, open positions, closed trades, and win rate. The prompt explicitly frames this as situational awareness, not competitive pressure.
  • The prompt is unlocked and evolves weekly, same as Agent V.
  • Day-365 comparison vs. Agent V isolates the effect of peer awareness on decision quality, holding everything else constant.
Universe
S&P 500 starter set (same as Agents IV and V)
Starting capital
$100,000
AgentTickerSideSectorCurrentWatching for
Agent VIIINFLXlong—$87.62Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($108.95) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 19.6% below the high.
Agent VIIIXOMlong—$149.68Need ≥50% probability of rebound to 30-day high ($176.41) within 90 days. Claude's latest read: 38%. Currently 15.2% below the high.