Wires·
Standing by — next sweep in ~15 min.
Markets
Dow+0.14%Russell 2000-0.31%Nasdaq-1.20%S&P 500-0.38%VXX+2.29%IEF-0.19%GLD+0.16%SLV-2.19%USO-0.33%UUP+0.27%Dow+0.14%Russell 2000-0.31%Nasdaq-1.20%S&P 500-0.38%VXX+2.29%IEF-0.19%GLD+0.16%SLV-2.19%USO-0.33%UUP+0.27%
No. I · Vol. I
Sunday, November 15, 2026

Agent 1 — Immutable

BULL + BEAR
DEGRADED

Frozen Weinstein Stage 2/4 trend follower on NASDAQ. Rules locked at v1 (150-day MA + volume confirm, -15% hard stop, 365-day time stop). Falsifiability anchor for the 1-vs-2 comparison — no trailing stops, no partials, no profit target. 6 longs / 4 shorts target.

Picks 10 NASDAQ stocks at a time using a 40-year-old method called Weinstein Stage Analysis. The basic idea: a stock that's been rising steadily for months is likely to keep rising; a stock that's been falling is likely to keep falling. The agent measures this by comparing today's price to a 30-week average. When price is comfortably above that average AND the average itself is rising, it buys. When price is below and the average is falling, it shorts. If a position loses 15%, it sells — no exceptions, no second-guessing. The whole experiment is to see if a fixed, mechanical system can produce real returns without anyone meddling with the rules. v3 methodology adds pyramiding: when a position reaches +10% unrealized, the agent adds 50% more shares at the current price — buying more of what's proving itself.

CUMULATIVE GAIN · 2026-05-12 → 2026-11-15 (live)−$12K−$6K+$1K+$8KBreak-even · $0−$9KMay 12Jul 9Sep 18Nov 15
IMMUTABLE
$91,171
-$8,829 (-8.83%)
since inception · on $100,000 allotted
Deployed capital
$82,212
82.2% of allotted in positions
Back to homeConnecting…
Today
Δ Equity
-$0.00
Δ %
-0.00%
Decisions
0
0 acted
Closed today
0

Scorecard

Head to head

Frozen methodology vs. weekly self-review

Adaptive leads by +6.70 pts
Frozen
This page
Agent 1 — Immutable
−8.83%
187 days running
Adaptive
Agent 2 — Adaptive
−2.13%
187 days running

Open Positions

(6)

Every open position with the thesis logged at entry.

  • ADPAutomatic Data Processinglongopened Nov 5, 2026stop $261.01
    32 sh × $307.07 ($9,826 cost)$309.93$9,918+$91.68+0.93%
  • WBDWarner Bros. Discoverylongopened Sep 21, 2026stop $26.18
    324 sh × $30.80 ($9,979 cost)$30.95$10,028+$48.60+0.49%
  • PDDPDD Holdingsshortopened May 29, 2026stop $97.14
    177 sh × $87.30 ($15,452 cost)$78.95$13,974+$1,478.24+9.57%
  • NFLXNetflix Incshortopened May 12, 2026stop $98.24
    117 sh × $85.43 ($9,995 cost)$62.16$7,272+$2,723.18+27.24%
  • AAPLApple Inclongopened May 12, 2026stop $248.84
    51 sh × $302.53 ($15,429 cost)$356.40$18,176+$2,747.54+17.81%
  • CSCOCisco Systemslongopened May 11, 2026stop $83.88
    151 sh × $106.25 ($16,044 cost)$95.64$14,441−$1,602.80−9.99%
open · 6 equity positionscost $76,726$73,809unrealized−$2,916.40−3.80%
realized + unrealized = total p/l−$14,319.86+−$2,916.40=−$17,236.25

Closed Positions

(9)

Every position this agent has closed, win or lose. Click any to see why it was opened and closed.

TickerSideInOutHold$ P/L% P/L

How this agent thinks

Plain English. Skip the jargon, read this first.

Picks 10 NASDAQ stocks at a time using a 40-year-old method called Weinstein Stage Analysis. The basic idea: a stock that's been rising steadily for months is likely to keep rising; a stock that's been falling is likely to keep falling. The agent measures this by comparing today's price to a 30-week average. When price is comfortably above that average AND the average itself is rising, it buys. When price is below and the average is falling, it shorts. If a position loses 15%, it sells — no exceptions, no second-guessing. The whole experiment is to see if a fixed, mechanical system can produce real returns without anyone meddling with the rules. v3 methodology adds pyramiding: when a position reaches +10% unrealized, the agent adds 50% more shares at the current price — buying more of what's proving itself.

Universe: NASDAQ-listed, 100-name starter set (>$2B cap, >1M ADV) · Capital: $100,000

Prompt performance

Closed-position stats broken out by the prompt version that authored each buy.

PromptTradesW / L / SWin rateAvg P/L %Total P/LAvg holdWindow
unknown90 / 9 / 00%-15.56%-$14,32070.2dMay 11, 2026 → Nov 5, 2026

Recent activity

(24)

What the agent has been looking at and what it's done about it.

  1. KDPCONSIDEREDNov 11, 4:00 PM

    Stage 2: close $38.28 > MA150 $31.19 (+22.7%), MA rising, 0.0% off 52w high, vol 0.66× avg

  2. DOCUCONSIDEREDNov 11, 4:00 PM

    Stage 2: close $80.15 > MA150 $58.29 (+37.5%), MA rising, 6.7% off 52w high, vol 0.60× avg

  3. IDXXCONSIDEREDNov 11, 4:00 PM

    Stage 2: close $703.05 > MA150 $558.60 (+25.9%), MA rising, 8.7% off 52w high, vol 0.44× avg

  4. MARCONSIDEREDNov 11, 4:00 PM

    Stage 2: close $429.20 > MA150 $369.05 (+16.3%), MA rising, 0.9% off 52w high, vol 0.51× avg

  5. AMGNCONSIDEREDNov 11, 4:00 PM

    Stage 2: close $468.25 > MA150 $385.35 (+21.5%), MA rising, 3.3% off 52w high, vol 0.43× avg

  6. CCEPCONSIDEREDNov 11, 4:00 PM

    Stage 2: close $117.93 > MA150 $102.82 (+14.7%), MA rising, 1.0% off 52w high, vol 0.59× avg

  7. BIIBCONSIDEREDNov 11, 4:00 PM

    Stage 2: close $253.49 > MA150 $210.43 (+20.5%), MA rising, 2.9% off 52w high, vol 0.58× avg

  8. COSTCONSIDEREDNov 11, 4:00 PM

    Stage 2: close $1087.52 > MA150 $968.37 (+12.3%), MA rising, 0.8% off 52w high, vol 0.73× avg

  9. SPYCONSIDEREDNov 11, 4:00 PM

    Stage 2: close $759.79 > MA150 $750.21 (+1.3%), MA rising, 2.8% off 52w high, vol 1.78× avg

  10. GILDCONSIDEREDNov 11, 4:00 PM

    Stage 2: close $169.74 > MA150 $140.29 (+21.0%), MA rising, 3.9% off 52w high, vol 0.56× avg

  11. ADPACTEDNov 5, 10:25 AM

    Stage 2: close $307.06 > MA150 $248.20 (+23.7%), MA rising, 1.3% off 52w high, vol 0.01× avg

  12. ETSYCONSIDEREDNov 5, 10:25 AM

    Stage 2: close $92.94 > MA150 $74.20 (+25.3%), MA rising, 5.0% off 52w high, vol 0.03× avg

  13. GILDCONSIDEREDNov 5, 10:25 AM

    Stage 2: close $173.02 > MA150 $139.57 (+24.0%), MA rising, 2.0% off 52w high, vol 0.03× avg

  14. KDPCONSIDEREDNov 5, 10:25 AM

    Stage 2: close $37.45 > MA150 $30.89 (+21.2%), MA rising, 1.1% off 52w high, vol 0.05× avg

  15. AMGNCONSIDEREDNov 5, 10:25 AM

    Stage 2: close $468.58 > MA150 $382.26 (+22.6%), MA rising, 2.9% off 52w high, vol 0.02× avg

  16. CTASCONSIDEREDNov 5, 10:25 AM

    Stage 2: close $229.76 > MA150 $190.83 (+20.4%), MA rising, 1.6% off 52w high, vol 0.01× avg

  17. CCEPCONSIDEREDNov 5, 10:25 AM

    Stage 2: close $117.69 > MA150 $102.24 (+15.1%), MA rising, 1.2% off 52w high, vol 0.04× avg

  18. MSFTCONSIDEREDNov 5, 10:25 AM

    Stage 2: close $544.23 > MA150 $451.45 (+20.6%), MA rising, 2.7% off 52w high, vol 0.03× avg

  19. BIIBCONSIDEREDNov 5, 10:25 AM

    Stage 2: close $251.36 > MA150 $208.45 (+20.6%), MA rising, 2.9% off 52w high, vol 0.01× avg

  20. REGNCONSIDEREDNov 5, 10:25 AM

    Stage 2: close $922.74 > MA150 $733.75 (+25.8%), MA rising, 7.0% off 52w high, vol 0.02× avg

  21. MARCONSIDEREDNov 5, 10:25 AM

    Stage 2: close $420.22 > MA150 $366.93 (+14.5%), MA rising, 3.0% off 52w high, vol 0.03× avg

  22. BIIBCONSIDEREDNov 5, 9:10 AM

    Stage 2: close $255.02 > MA150 $208.47 (+22.3%), MA rising, 1.5% off 52w high, vol 0.00× avg

  23. CCEPCONSIDEREDNov 5, 9:10 AM

    Stage 2: close $117.70 > MA150 $102.24 (+15.1%), MA rising, 0.0% off 52w high, vol 0.01× avg

  24. MARCONSIDEREDNov 5, 9:10 AM

    Stage 2: close $425.70 > MA150 $366.96 (+16.0%), MA rising, 1.8% off 52w high, vol 0.01× avg

Watching

(0)

Names this agent is tracking but hasn't entered.

Nothing on the watchlist right now.

Relevant news

(30)

Recent headlines on tickers this agent holds, watches, or has evaluated.

  1. Nov 15, 8:03 AMMSFTvia finnhub

    Microsoft Ignite Starts Nov. 17. Will Microsoft Update Its Paid Copilot Seat Count?

  2. Nov 15, 7:57 AMAVGOvia finnhub

    Is Credo Technology a Better AI Networking Buy Than Broadcom?

  3. Nov 15, 7:53 AMMETAvia finnhub

    Italy Fines Meta €805 Million. Why the Legal Route Matters More Than the Money

  4. Nov 15, 7:35 AMGOOGLvia finnhub

    Why falling AI token prices aren’t the negative for AI providers one might assume

  5. Nov 15, 7:06 AMMETAvia finnhub

    Meta (META) Faces $880 Million Italy Fine Over User Photo Access

  6. Nov 15, 6:52 AMGOOGLvia finnhub

    A $5.9 Billion Fund Bought These 3 Stocks

  7. Nov 15, 5:50 AMMSFTvia finnhub

    Want to Invest in Top Growth Stocks Like Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft but Avoid Nvidia? Consider This Low-Cost Vanguard ETF That’s Up 24.8% This Year.

  8. Nov 15, 5:50 AMAAPLvia finnhub

    Want to Invest in Top Growth Stocks Like Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft but Avoid Nvidia? Consider This Low-Cost Vanguard ETF That’s Up 24.8% This Year.

  9. Nov 15, 5:05 AMMSFTvia finnhub

    IREN Is Down 63% in a Year. Is It Time to Sell, or Load Up?

  10. Nov 15, 4:00 AMMETAvia finnhub

    From Dodge to Anthropic: The Century-Old Playbook Taking Over Tech IPOs

  11. Nov 15, 4:00 AMMSFTvia finnhub

    Nvidia had no succession plan when Jensen Huang quit. Former Fortune 500 CEOs call it ‘preposterous’

  12. Nov 15, 3:58 AMGOOGLvia finnhub

    Consumer Tech (Nov 9-13): Jensen Resigns From Nvidia Amid Affair Controvery, Microsoft Faces Massive Outage & More

  13. Nov 15, 3:58 AMCRWDvia finnhub

    Consumer Tech (Nov 9-13): Jensen Resigns From Nvidia Amid Affair Controvery, Microsoft Faces Massive Outage & More

  14. Nov 15, 3:58 AMMSFTvia finnhub

    Consumer Tech (Nov 9-13): Jensen Resigns From Nvidia Amid Affair Controvery, Microsoft Faces Massive Outage & More

  15. Nov 15, 3:30 AMAAPLvia finnhub

    5 big analyst AI moves: Nvidia hit with downgrades after Huang’s exit

  16. Nov 15, 2:36 AMMSFTvia finnhub

    Founderz AI Wins 2026 Microsoft Partner of the Year Award in Training Services Category

  17. Nov 15, 2:25 AMCSCOvia finnhub

    Cisco Raised Its Earnings Outlook 8%. The Stock Fell 6% Anyway

  18. Nov 15, 2:01 AMAAPLvia finnhub

    Apple’s Tim Cook Legacy, Nvidia’s Jensen Huang Question and the $5 Trillion Crown: This Weekend in Appleverse

  19. Nov 15, 12:08 AMCSCOvia finnhub

    Charter Communications (CHTR) Expands Enterprise Reach With Managed Secure Networking Launch

  20. Nov 14, 10:33 PMAAPLvia finnhub

    Bernstein Says Qualcomm’s “Margin Outlook Is Lousy.” Is the 6% Slide a Buying Chance?

  21. Nov 14, 9:30 PMGOOGLvia finnhub

    Google Could Buy Uber to Win the Robotaxi Wars, Reuters Columnist Argues

  22. Nov 14, 8:20 PMAVGOvia finnhub

    Broadcom Jumped as Nvidia Fell. This Is What Has Investors Excited.

  23. Nov 14, 8:14 PMGOOGLvia finnhub

    SpaceX’s Starship Makes History With First-Ever Mechazilla Catch — Musk, Hegseth and Trump Jr. React

  24. Nov 14, 8:10 PMAVGOvia finnhub

    Top 3 AI Stocks To Watch In November 2026

  25. Nov 14, 8:08 PMMETAvia finnhub

    Evercore explains why Apple has the right assets to win the personal agents race

  26. Nov 14, 8:08 PMAAPLvia finnhub

    Evercore explains why Apple has the right assets to win the personal agents race

  27. Nov 14, 6:32 PMMETAvia finnhub

    Meta Faces $887 Million Fine in Italy as Regulator Says Facebook Accessed Users’ Photos Without Consent

  28. Nov 14, 5:53 PMAAPLvia finnhub

    Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Just Hit a Record High as Nvidia Sank. A 67-Year-Old Who Bought 1,000 Shares in 2016 Can Sell $106,000 of It This Year and Pay 0% on the Gain

  29. Nov 14, 5:09 PMKDPvia finnhub

    How Investors Are Reacting To Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) $2b Share Sale

  30. Nov 14, 5:03 PMGOOGLvia finnhub

    He Thinks His $200,000 S&P 500 401(k) Spreads His AI Risk. Two Alphabet Share Classes Put $10,380 in One Company. A 20% Drop Could Cost Him $2,076

Macro & geopolitical context

(15)

High-severity world events that touch this agent's universe.

  1. Nov 15, 9:26 AMmarket · severity 3/5

    Nvidia and Anthropic expected to drive AI sector momentum in the week ahead.

    Tickers:NVDA
  2. Nov 14, 5:29 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    Israeli military strikes senior Hamas commander in ongoing Middle East conflict.

  3. Nov 14, 12:48 PMcompany · severity 4/5

    Nvidia leadership crisis impacts AI sector; S&P 500 gains 2.5% weekly despite tech turbulence.

    Tickers:NVDA
  4. Nov 14, 9:00 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Central banks test cross-border FX settlement using stablecoins amid crypto adoption.

  5. Nov 14, 4:34 AMcompany · severity 3/5

    Microsoft resolves global outage caused by network capacity upgrade, rules out cyberattack.

    Tickers:MSFT
  6. Nov 13, 6:22 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    Trump plans to discuss nuclear-arms cuts with Putin and Xi on Thursday.

  7. Nov 13, 4:02 PMpolicy · severity 4/5

    October PPI misses expectations; Fed hawkish concerns ease amid softer inflation data.

  8. Nov 13, 3:46 PMpolicy · severity 3/5

    US extends 90-day shipping waiver to facilitate oil and commodity movement.

  9. Nov 13, 2:53 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    Coinbase trust company receives regulatory clearance amid Senate crypto compliance scrutiny.

    Tickers:COIN
  10. Nov 13, 12:11 PMmarket · severity 3/5

    US consumer spending shows signs of weakness across eight key economic indicators.

  11. Nov 13, 10:22 AMmarket · severity 4/5

    Nvidia earnings post-leadership change and Anthropic IPO drive critical macro signals.

    Tickers:NVDA
  12. Nov 13, 10:05 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    FTC expected to hold final approval meeting on UniFirst-Cintas merger deal.

    Tickers:CTAS
  13. Nov 13, 9:34 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Treasury Secretary Bessent and Fed's Goolsbee debate energy's contribution to inflation dynamics.

  14. Nov 13, 7:30 AMpolicy · severity 4/5

    US October PPI comes in slightly below expectations at 6.5%, signaling modest inflation moderation.

  15. Nov 13, 7:26 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    FTC plans lawsuit to block $3.5B Covetrus-MWI merger.

Recent runs

(20)

Every scheduled run for this agent. Most are no-op; the interesting ones show what changed.

  1. Nov 13, 4:00 PMClosed by janitor — finished_at was NULL after 4480s.
  2. Nov 13, 3:45 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  3. Nov 13, 3:30 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  4. Nov 13, 3:15 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  5. Nov 13, 3:01 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  6. Nov 13, 2:45 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  7. Nov 13, 2:30 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  8. Nov 13, 2:15 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  9. Nov 13, 2:00 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  10. Nov 13, 1:46 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  11. Nov 13, 1:31 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  12. Nov 13, 1:15 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  13. Nov 13, 1:00 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  14. Nov 13, 12:45 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  15. Nov 13, 12:30 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  16. Nov 13, 12:16 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  17. Nov 13, 12:00 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  18. Nov 13, 11:45 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  19. Nov 13, 11:30 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  20. Nov 13, 11:15 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached