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Dow+0.14%Russell 2000-0.31%Nasdaq-1.20%S&P 500-0.38%VXX+2.29%IEF-0.19%GLD+0.16%SLV-2.19%USO-0.33%UUP+0.27%Dow+0.14%Russell 2000-0.31%Nasdaq-1.20%S&P 500-0.38%VXX+2.29%IEF-0.19%GLD+0.16%SLV-2.19%USO-0.33%UUP+0.27%
No. I · Vol. I
Sunday, November 15, 2026

Agent 14 — Inverse Tech (PSQ)

BEAR
HEALTHY

Inverse tech (PSQ) when regime is bearish and tech sector trend rolling over. Healthcare-short uses cash; no liquid inverse exists

The tactical bearish counterpart to Agent 13. Sits in cash by default and only opens a position when conditions are bearish in a specific narrow window. The vehicle is PSQ (a -1x inverse Nasdaq ETF) — buying PSQ profits when tech falls. Three conditions have to align: (1) the broad market is bearish, with SPY trading below its 200-day moving average; (2) the VIX is elevated between 20 and 40 — high enough that there's real bearish pressure, but not so high that we're at a panic-reversal point where bottoms usually form; (3) tech specifically is rolling over — XLK's 50-day EMA is below its 200-day, and XLK's RSI just rallied above 60 and crossed back down (shorting a rally in a downtrend, not chasing a falling knife). Holds briefly — 30-day time stop because inverse ETFs decay over long holds. Healthcare-short is intentionally NOT implemented — no liquid inverse healthcare ETF exists, and the strategy doc recommends sitting in cash for that slot when bearish (which is the default state anyway).

CUMULATIVE GAIN · 2026-05-21 → 2026-11-15 (live)−$1K+$393+$2K+$4KBreak-even · $0+$1KMay 21Jul 15Sep 21Nov 15
INVERSE TECH (PSQ)
$101,133
+$1,133 (+1.13%)
since inception · on $100,000 allotted
Deployed capital
$38,930
38.9% of allotted in positions
Back to homeConnecting…
Today
Δ Equity
$0.00
Δ %
0.00%
Decisions
0
0 acted
Closed today
0

Scorecard

Open Positions

(1)

Every open position with the thesis logged at entry.

  • PSQProShares Short QQQ (-1x inverse Nasdaq)longopened Nov 13, 2026stop $26.05
    1,444 sh × $27.14 ($39,190 cost)$26.96$38,930−$259.92−0.66%
open · 1 equity positioncost $39,190$38,930unrealized−$259.92−0.66%
realized + unrealized = total p/l+$1,392.70+−$259.92=+$1,132.78

Closed Positions

(17)

Every position this agent has closed, win or lose. Click any to see why it was opened and closed.

TickerSideInOutHold$ P/L% P/L

How this agent thinks

Plain English. Skip the jargon, read this first.

The tactical bearish counterpart to Agent 13. Sits in cash by default and only opens a position when conditions are bearish in a specific narrow window. The vehicle is PSQ (a -1x inverse Nasdaq ETF) — buying PSQ profits when tech falls. Three conditions have to align: (1) the broad market is bearish, with SPY trading below its 200-day moving average; (2) the VIX is elevated between 20 and 40 — high enough that there's real bearish pressure, but not so high that we're at a panic-reversal point where bottoms usually form; (3) tech specifically is rolling over — XLK's 50-day EMA is below its 200-day, and XLK's RSI just rallied above 60 and crossed back down (shorting a rally in a downtrend, not chasing a falling knife). Holds briefly — 30-day time stop because inverse ETFs decay over long holds. Healthcare-short is intentionally NOT implemented — no liquid inverse healthcare ETF exists, and the strategy doc recommends sitting in cash for that slot when bearish (which is the default state anyway).

Universe: PSQ (-1x QQQ short vehicle), with XLK + SPY as reference-only · Capital: $100,000

Prompt performance

Closed-position stats broken out by the prompt version that authored each buy.

PromptTradesW / L / SWin rateAvg P/L %Total P/LAvg holdWindow
unknown178 / 9 / 047.1%+0.21%+$1,3934.4dJun 8, 2026 → Nov 11, 2026

Recent activity

(24)

What the agent has been looking at and what it's done about it.

  1. REGIME_CHECKNov 13, 4:00 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  2. CRASH_CHECKNov 13, 4:00 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  3. REGIME_CHECKNov 13, 3:45 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  4. CRASH_CHECKNov 13, 3:45 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  5. REGIME_CHECKNov 13, 3:30 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  6. CRASH_CHECKNov 13, 3:30 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  7. REGIME_CHECKNov 13, 3:15 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  8. CRASH_CHECKNov 13, 3:15 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  9. REGIME_CHECKNov 13, 3:01 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  10. CRASH_CHECKNov 13, 3:01 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  11. REGIME_CHECKNov 13, 2:45 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  12. CRASH_CHECKNov 13, 2:45 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  13. REGIME_CHECKNov 13, 2:30 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  14. CRASH_CHECKNov 13, 2:30 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  15. REGIME_CHECKNov 13, 2:15 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  16. CRASH_CHECKNov 13, 2:15 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  17. REGIME_CHECKNov 13, 2:00 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  18. CRASH_CHECKNov 13, 2:00 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  19. REGIME_CHECKNov 13, 1:46 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  20. CRASH_CHECKNov 13, 1:46 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  21. REGIME_CHECKNov 13, 1:31 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  22. CRASH_CHECKNov 13, 1:31 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  23. REGIME_CHECKNov 13, 1:15 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  24. CRASH_CHECKNov 13, 1:15 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

Watching

(0)

Names this agent is tracking but hasn't entered.

Nothing on the watchlist right now.

Relevant news

(1)

Recent headlines on tickers this agent holds, watches, or has evaluated.

  1. Nov 9, 5:00 PMPSQvia finnhub

    What Is Coming? - Weekly Blog #966

Macro & geopolitical context

(15)

High-severity world events that touch this agent's universe.

  1. Nov 14, 5:29 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    Israeli military strikes senior Hamas commander in ongoing Middle East conflict.

  2. Nov 14, 9:00 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Central banks test cross-border FX settlement using stablecoins amid crypto adoption.

  3. Nov 13, 6:22 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    Trump plans to discuss nuclear-arms cuts with Putin and Xi on Thursday.

  4. Nov 13, 4:02 PMpolicy · severity 4/5

    October PPI misses expectations; Fed hawkish concerns ease amid softer inflation data.

  5. Nov 13, 9:34 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Treasury Secretary Bessent and Fed's Goolsbee debate energy's contribution to inflation dynamics.

  6. Nov 13, 7:30 AMpolicy · severity 4/5

    US October PPI comes in slightly below expectations at 6.5%, signaling modest inflation moderation.

  7. Nov 13, 7:26 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    FTC plans lawsuit to block $3.5B Covetrus-MWI merger.

  8. Nov 13, 4:00 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Eurozone Q3 GDP confirmed at 0.4% q/q, reinforcing moderate growth outlook amid uneven regional performance.

  9. Nov 13, 3:27 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    DOJ seizes $1.2B from Binance hack, disrupts FaceStealer cryptocurrency scam operation.

  10. Nov 13, 3:25 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    IAEA expresses growing concerns about Iranian nuclear enrichment activities.

  11. Nov 13, 2:00 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Spain inflation remains elevated at 4.9%, supporting ECB rate hike expectations.

  12. Nov 13, 1:00 AMgeopolitical · severity 4/5

    Iran reports tanker explosion in Hormuz Strait after mine strike, escalating regional tensions.

  13. Nov 12, 10:52 PMpolicy · severity 4/5

    US bond market volatility resurges amid higher-for-longer interest rate expectations.

  14. Nov 12, 8:51 PMgeopolitical · severity 4/5

    Iran's Guards claim attack on US early-warning radar in Bahrain, escalating regional tensions.

  15. Nov 12, 7:58 PMpolicy · severity 4/5

    Dollar hits 19-month high on Fed rate hike expectations; yen approaches 160 level.

Recent runs

(20)

Every scheduled run for this agent. Most are no-op; the interesting ones show what changed.

  1. Nov 13, 4:00 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  2. Nov 13, 3:45 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  3. Nov 13, 3:30 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  4. Nov 13, 3:15 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  5. Nov 13, 3:01 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  6. Nov 13, 2:45 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  7. Nov 13, 2:30 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  8. Nov 13, 2:15 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  9. Nov 13, 2:00 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  10. Nov 13, 1:46 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  11. Nov 13, 1:31 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  12. Nov 13, 1:15 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  13. Nov 13, 1:00 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  14. Nov 13, 12:45 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  15. Nov 13, 12:30 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  16. Nov 13, 12:16 PMSector Short: crash trigger live but PSQ already held — no new entries
  17. Nov 13, 12:00 PMSector Short: crash trigger live but PSQ already held — no new entries
  18. Nov 13, 11:45 AMSector Short: crash trigger live but PSQ already held — no new entries
  19. Nov 13, 11:30 AMSector Short: crash trigger live but PSQ already held — no new entries
  20. Nov 13, 11:15 AMSector Short: crash trigger live but PSQ already held — no new entries
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