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Dow+0.90%Russell 2000-0.62%Nasdaq+2.37%S&P 500+1.59%VXX-3.97%IEF-0.05%GLD-1.20%SLV-1.09%USO+1.92%UUP-0.28%Dow+0.90%Russell 2000-0.62%Nasdaq+2.37%S&P 500+1.59%VXX-3.97%IEF-0.05%GLD-1.20%SLV-1.09%USO+1.92%UUP-0.28%
No. I · Vol. I
Monday, June 29, 2026

Agent 14 — Inverse Tech (PSQ)

BEAR
HEALTHY

Inverse tech (PSQ) when regime is bearish and tech sector trend rolling over. Healthcare-short uses cash; no liquid inverse exists

The tactical bearish counterpart to Agent 13. Sits in cash by default and only opens a position when conditions are bearish in a specific narrow window. The vehicle is PSQ (a -1x inverse Nasdaq ETF) — buying PSQ profits when tech falls. Three conditions have to align: (1) the broad market is bearish, with SPY trading below its 200-day moving average; (2) the VIX is elevated between 20 and 40 — high enough that there's real bearish pressure, but not so high that we're at a panic-reversal point where bottoms usually form; (3) tech specifically is rolling over — XLK's 50-day EMA is below its 200-day, and XLK's RSI just rallied above 60 and crossed back down (shorting a rally in a downtrend, not chasing a falling knife). Holds briefly — 30-day time stop because inverse ETFs decay over long holds. Healthcare-short is intentionally NOT implemented — no liquid inverse healthcare ETF exists, and the strategy doc recommends sitting in cash for that slot when bearish (which is the default state anyway).

CUMULATIVE GAIN · 2026-05-21 → 2026-06-29 (live)−$1K−$436+$170+$776Break-even · $0−$354May 21Jun 3Jun 16Jun 29
INVERSE TECH (PSQ)
$99,646
-$354 (-0.35%)
since inception · on $100,000 allotted
Back to homeConnecting…
Today
Δ Equity
$0.00
Δ %
0.00%
Decisions
44
0 acted
Closed today
1

Scorecard

Capital deployed
0%
4d avg hold · −2.67% on deployed

Open Positions

(0)

Every open position with the thesis logged at entry.

No open positions.

Closed Positions

(3)

Every position this agent has closed, win or lose. Click any to see why it was opened and closed.

TickerSideInOutHold$ P/L% P/L

How this agent thinks

Plain English. Skip the jargon, read this first.

The tactical bearish counterpart to Agent 13. Sits in cash by default and only opens a position when conditions are bearish in a specific narrow window. The vehicle is PSQ (a -1x inverse Nasdaq ETF) — buying PSQ profits when tech falls. Three conditions have to align: (1) the broad market is bearish, with SPY trading below its 200-day moving average; (2) the VIX is elevated between 20 and 40 — high enough that there's real bearish pressure, but not so high that we're at a panic-reversal point where bottoms usually form; (3) tech specifically is rolling over — XLK's 50-day EMA is below its 200-day, and XLK's RSI just rallied above 60 and crossed back down (shorting a rally in a downtrend, not chasing a falling knife). Holds briefly — 30-day time stop because inverse ETFs decay over long holds. Healthcare-short is intentionally NOT implemented — no liquid inverse healthcare ETF exists, and the strategy doc recommends sitting in cash for that slot when bearish (which is the default state anyway).

Universe: PSQ (-1x QQQ short vehicle), with XLK + SPY as reference-only · Capital: $100,000

Prompt performance

Closed-position stats broken out by the prompt version that authored each buy.

PromptTradesW / L / SWin rateAvg P/L %Total P/LAvg holdWindow
unknown31 / 2 / 033.3%-0.29%-$3543.7dJun 8, 2026 → Jun 29, 2026

Recent activity

(24)

What the agent has been looking at and what it's done about it.

  1. REGIME_CHECKJun 29, 1:15 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  2. CRASH_CHECKJun 29, 1:15 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  3. REGIME_CHECKJun 29, 1:01 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  4. CRASH_CHECKJun 29, 1:01 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  5. REGIME_CHECKJun 29, 12:45 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  6. CRASH_CHECKJun 29, 12:45 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  7. REGIME_CHECKJun 29, 12:31 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  8. CRASH_CHECKJun 29, 12:31 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  9. REGIME_CHECKJun 29, 12:15 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  10. CRASH_CHECKJun 29, 12:15 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  11. REGIME_CHECKJun 29, 12:01 PM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  12. CRASH_CHECKJun 29, 12:01 PM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  13. REGIME_CHECKJun 29, 11:45 AM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  14. CRASH_CHECKJun 29, 11:45 AM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  15. REGIME_CHECKJun 29, 11:31 AM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  16. CRASH_CHECKJun 29, 11:31 AM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  17. REGIME_CHECKJun 29, 11:15 AM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  18. CRASH_CHECKJun 29, 11:15 AM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  19. REGIME_CHECKJun 29, 11:01 AM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  20. CRASH_CHECKJun 29, 11:01 AM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  21. REGIME_CHECKJun 29, 10:45 AM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  22. CRASH_CHECKJun 29, 10:45 AM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

  23. REGIME_CHECKJun 29, 10:31 AM

    Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down

  24. CRASH_CHECKJun 29, 10:31 AM

    No sharp-selloff trigger (day / 5d / VXX thresholds not met)

Watching

(0)

Names this agent is tracking but hasn't entered.

Nothing on the watchlist right now.

Relevant news

(0)

Recent headlines on tickers this agent holds, watches, or has evaluated.

No recent news on this agent's tickers.

Macro & geopolitical context

(15)

High-severity world events that touch this agent's universe.

  1. Jun 29, 10:27 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Kalshi traders predict upcoming jobs report will miss Wall Street consensus expectations.

  2. Jun 29, 7:40 AMgeopolitical · severity 4/5

    U.S. envoys Kushner and Witkoff to meet Iran in Doha negotiations.

  3. Jun 29, 6:24 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    US-Iran de-escalation channels established ahead of diplomatic talks.

  4. Jun 29, 5:01 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    EU's MiCA deadline threatens unlicensed crypto firms with regulatory wipeout.

  5. Jun 29, 1:03 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    Bitcoin declines to $59,700 as Iran tensions ease, benefiting equities over crypto.

  6. Jun 29, 12:31 AMpolicy · severity 4/5

    BIS warns AI investment surge poses systemic financial risk via leveraged debt structures.

  7. Jun 29, 12:02 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    Iranian cyberattacks on Israel escalated in 2026, raising regional security concerns.

  8. Jun 28, 9:48 PMpolicy · severity 4/5

    BOJ aligns monetary policy with Japanese government's economic growth targets.

  9. Jun 28, 9:22 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    China blacklists 20 Japanese entities in dual-use export restrictions; normal trade unaffected.

  10. Jun 28, 8:40 PMgeopolitical · severity 4/5

    US-Iran tensions ease temporarily; oil rallies while equities remain choppy.

  11. Jun 28, 8:31 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    Iran tensions and Fed rate outlook impact Indian rupee and bond markets.

  12. Jun 28, 3:36 PMgeopolitical · severity 4/5

    Israel destroys Hezbollah underground infrastructure in southern Lebanon amid escalating conflict.

  13. Jun 28, 2:53 PMgeopolitical · severity 4/5

    Iran cancels technical talks participation following recent military attacks in region.

  14. Jun 28, 1:58 PMpolicy · severity 3/5

    BIS warns stablecoins risk fragmenting global financial system, urges central bank digital currency development.

  15. Jun 28, 11:05 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    EU Banking Authority proposes crypto fines up to 12.5% of annual revenue under landmark laws.

Recent runs

(20)

Every scheduled run for this agent. Most are no-op; the interesting ones show what changed.

  1. Jun 29, 1:15 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  2. Jun 29, 1:01 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  3. Jun 29, 12:45 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  4. Jun 29, 12:31 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  5. Jun 29, 12:15 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  6. Jun 29, 12:01 PMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  7. Jun 29, 11:45 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  8. Jun 29, 11:31 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  9. Jun 29, 11:15 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  10. Jun 29, 11:01 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  11. Jun 29, 10:45 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  12. Jun 29, 10:31 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  13. Jun 29, 10:15 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  14. Jun 29, 10:00 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  15. Jun 29, 9:45 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  16. Jun 29, 9:30 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  17. Jun 29, 9:15 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  18. Jun 29, 9:01 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  19. Jun 29, 8:45 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
  20. Jun 29, 8:30 AMSector Short: 0 exit(s); no entries — Regime bullish: SPY above 200d MA — short agent stands down
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