Wires·
Standing by — next sweep in ~15 min.
Markets
Dow+0.14%Russell 2000-0.31%Nasdaq-1.20%S&P 500-0.38%VXX+2.29%IEF-0.19%GLD+0.16%SLV-2.19%USO-0.33%UUP+0.27%Dow+0.14%Russell 2000-0.31%Nasdaq-1.20%S&P 500-0.38%VXX+2.29%IEF-0.19%GLD+0.16%SLV-2.19%USO-0.33%UUP+0.27%
No. I · Vol. I
Sunday, November 15, 2026

Agent 19 — Pairs Trading

BULL + BEAR
HEALTHY

Statistical-arbitrage pairs trading on 4 hardcoded cointegrated pairs: KO/PEP, V/MA, XOM/CVX, JNJ/PG. For each, computes the 60-day z-score of the log-spread; enters long-short on |z|≥2, exits on |z|≤0.5, stops on |z|≥4. Daily cadence. The first market-neutral agent on the bench — its return profile is largely orthogonal to every long-only strategy. Gatev-Goetzmann-Rouwenhorst 1962-2002: ~11%/year before costs, ~5% after.

CUMULATIVE GAIN · 2026-05-27 → 2026-11-15 (live)−$4K−$2K−$270+$2KBreak-even · $0+$1KMay 27Jul 19Sep 23Nov 15
PAIRS TRADING
$101,219
+$1,219 (+1.22%)
since inception · on $100,000 allotted
Deployed capital
$50,865
50.9% of allotted in positions
Back to homeConnecting…
Today
Δ Equity
$0.00
Δ %
0.00%
Decisions
0
0 acted
Closed today
0

Scorecard

Open Positions

(2)

Every open position with the thesis logged at entry.

  • PGProcter & Gamble Companyshortopened Nov 4, 2026
    150 sh × $165.79 ($24,868 cost)$169.83$25,475−$606.75−2.44%
  • JNJJohnson & Johnsonlongopened Nov 4, 2026
    93 sh × $267.79 ($24,904 cost)$286.06$26,604+$1,699.11+6.82%
open · 2 equity positionscost $49,772$52,078unrealized+$2,305.86+4.63%
realized + unrealized = total p/l+$126.41++$2,305.86=+$2,432.27

Closed Positions

(661)

Every position this agent has closed, win or lose. Click any to see why it was opened and closed.

TickerSideInOutHold$ P/L% P/L

Prompt performance

Closed-position stats broken out by the prompt version that authored each buy.

PromptTradesW / L / SWin rateAvg P/L %Total P/LAvg holdWindow
unknown661266 / 223 / 17254.4%0%+$1260.5dJun 1, 2026 → Oct 29, 2026

Recent activity

(24)

What the agent has been looking at and what it's done about it.

  1. HOLDNov 13, 3:45 PM

    Pairs KO/PEP: flat (z=0.42 below entry threshold 1.75).

  2. HOLDNov 13, 3:45 PM

    Pairs V/MA: flat (z=-1.04 below entry threshold 1.75).

  3. HOLDNov 13, 3:45 PM

    Pairs XOM/CVX: flat (z=-1.04 below entry threshold 1.75).

  4. HOLDNov 13, 3:45 PM

    Pairs JNJ/PG: holding (z=-0.75 in [-4,-0.5]∪[0.5,4]).

  5. HOLDNov 13, 3:30 PM

    Pairs KO/PEP: flat (z=0.42 below entry threshold 1.75).

  6. HOLDNov 13, 3:30 PM

    Pairs V/MA: flat (z=-1.04 below entry threshold 1.75).

  7. HOLDNov 13, 3:30 PM

    Pairs XOM/CVX: flat (z=-1.04 below entry threshold 1.75).

  8. HOLDNov 13, 3:30 PM

    Pairs JNJ/PG: holding (z=-0.75 in [-4,-0.5]∪[0.5,4]).

  9. HOLDNov 13, 3:15 PM

    Pairs KO/PEP: flat (z=0.42 below entry threshold 1.75).

  10. HOLDNov 13, 3:15 PM

    Pairs V/MA: flat (z=-1.04 below entry threshold 1.75).

  11. HOLDNov 13, 3:15 PM

    Pairs XOM/CVX: flat (z=-1.04 below entry threshold 1.75).

  12. HOLDNov 13, 3:15 PM

    Pairs JNJ/PG: holding (z=-0.75 in [-4,-0.5]∪[0.5,4]).

  13. HOLDNov 13, 3:01 PM

    Pairs KO/PEP: flat (z=0.42 below entry threshold 1.75).

  14. HOLDNov 13, 3:01 PM

    Pairs V/MA: flat (z=-1.04 below entry threshold 1.75).

  15. HOLDNov 13, 3:01 PM

    Pairs XOM/CVX: flat (z=-1.04 below entry threshold 1.75).

  16. HOLDNov 13, 3:01 PM

    Pairs JNJ/PG: holding (z=-0.75 in [-4,-0.5]∪[0.5,4]).

  17. HOLDNov 13, 2:45 PM

    Pairs KO/PEP: flat (z=0.45 below entry threshold 1.75).

  18. HOLDNov 13, 2:45 PM

    Pairs V/MA: flat (z=-0.90 below entry threshold 1.75).

  19. HOLDNov 13, 2:45 PM

    Pairs XOM/CVX: flat (z=-0.81 below entry threshold 1.75).

  20. HOLDNov 13, 2:45 PM

    Pairs JNJ/PG: holding (z=-0.73 in [-4,-0.5]∪[0.5,4]).

  21. HOLDNov 13, 2:30 PM

    Pairs KO/PEP: flat (z=0.53 below entry threshold 1.75).

  22. HOLDNov 13, 2:30 PM

    Pairs V/MA: flat (z=-1.08 below entry threshold 1.75).

  23. HOLDNov 13, 2:30 PM

    Pairs XOM/CVX: flat (z=-0.90 below entry threshold 1.75).

  24. HOLDNov 13, 2:30 PM

    Pairs JNJ/PG: holding (z=-0.72 in [-4,-0.5]∪[0.5,4]).

Watching

(0)

Names this agent is tracking but hasn't entered.

Nothing on the watchlist right now.

Relevant news

(30)

Recent headlines on tickers this agent holds, watches, or has evaluated.

  1. Nov 15, 9:00 AMPEPvia finnhub

    4 Durable Dividend Stocks Retirees Can Count On for Passive Income

  2. Nov 15, 9:00 AMPGvia finnhub

    4 Durable Dividend Stocks Retirees Can Count On for Passive Income

  3. Nov 15, 9:00 AMKOvia finnhub

    4 Durable Dividend Stocks Retirees Can Count On for Passive Income

  4. Nov 15, 9:00 AMJNJvia finnhub

    4 Durable Dividend Stocks Retirees Can Count On for Passive Income

  5. Nov 15, 8:50 AMVvia finnhub

    Prediction: Visa Stock Hits $500 in 2028

  6. Nov 15, 7:50 AMPGvia finnhub

    How Many Shares of Kimberly-Clark, Clorox or Procter & Gamble Pay $1,000 a Month in Dividends?

  7. Nov 15, 6:52 AMVvia finnhub

    A $5.9 Billion Fund Bought These 3 Stocks

  8. Nov 15, 6:50 AMPEPvia finnhub

    Kraft Heinz vs. PepsiCo: Which Consumer Goods Stock Is a Better Buy for 2027?

  9. Nov 15, 6:08 AMVvia finnhub

    What Is Next For Global Payments (GPN) After Elliott Pressure And Authentication Upgrade?

  10. Nov 15, 6:00 AMPGvia finnhub

    Plastics, Package Makers Press Congress on Recycling Bills as Clock Ticks

  11. Nov 14, 5:53 PMKOvia finnhub

    Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Just Hit a Record High as Nvidia Sank. A 67-Year-Old Who Bought 1,000 Shares in 2016 Can Sell $106,000 of It This Year and Pay 0% on the Gain

  12. Nov 14, 3:47 PMJNJvia finnhub

    Coca-Cola and J&J Just Hit Record Highs. A 62-Year-Old Put $300,000 Into Them and Procter & Gamble in 2016. Here’s How Much the Now 72-Year-Old Gets Paid Every Single Month

  13. Nov 14, 3:47 PMKOvia finnhub

    Coca-Cola and J&J Just Hit Record Highs. A 62-Year-Old Put $300,000 Into Them and Procter & Gamble in 2016. Here’s How Much the Now 72-Year-Old Gets Paid Every Single Month

  14. Nov 14, 3:47 PMPGvia finnhub

    Coca-Cola and J&J Just Hit Record Highs. A 62-Year-Old Put $300,000 Into Them and Procter & Gamble in 2016. Here’s How Much the Now 72-Year-Old Gets Paid Every Single Month

  15. Nov 14, 3:35 PMJNJvia finnhub

    5 Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever

  16. Nov 14, 3:35 PMPGvia finnhub

    5 Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever

  17. Nov 14, 2:32 PMMAvia finnhub

    American Express vs. Mastercard: Which Financial Stock Is a Better Buy for 2027?

  18. Nov 14, 1:16 PMKOvia finnhub

    Coca-Cola Has Paid a Growing Dividend for 64 Years. Here's the Income $5,000 Can Start You With.

  19. Nov 14, 12:21 PMKOvia finnhub

    Got $1,000 to Invest? Skip Coca-Cola and PepsiCo. This 4%-Yielding Dividend Stock Could Deliver a 160% Return in 10 Years.

  20. Nov 14, 12:21 PMPEPvia finnhub

    Got $1,000 to Invest? Skip Coca-Cola and PepsiCo. This 4%-Yielding Dividend Stock Could Deliver a 160% Return in 10 Years.

  21. Nov 14, 9:32 AMMAvia finnhub

    MercadoLibre vs. Uber Technologies: Which Consumer Network Stock Is a Better Buy for 2027?

  22. Nov 14, 9:32 AMVvia finnhub

    MercadoLibre vs. Uber Technologies: Which Consumer Network Stock Is a Better Buy for 2027?

  23. Nov 14, 8:35 AMPGvia finnhub

    3 Consumer Compounders That Fit Warren Buffett's Playbook. I'd Hold Them Forever.

  24. Nov 14, 8:35 AMKOvia finnhub

    3 Consumer Compounders That Fit Warren Buffett's Playbook. I'd Hold Them Forever.

  25. Nov 14, 7:55 AMVvia finnhub

    Card Networks Like Visa and Mastercard Don't Take Credit Losses. American Express Does. Here's Why That Matters for the Stock.

  26. Nov 14, 7:55 AMMAvia finnhub

    Card Networks Like Visa and Mastercard Don't Take Credit Losses. American Express Does. Here's Why That Matters for the Stock.

  27. Nov 14, 6:35 AMPEPvia finnhub

    4 Dividend Stocks Yielding 4% or More to Buy Before the End of November

  28. Nov 14, 6:15 AMMAvia finnhub

    Samsung Electronics (KOSE:A005930) Expands Samsung Pay, Is The Stock Still Undervalued?

  29. Nov 14, 3:20 AMMAvia finnhub

    Mastercard (NYSE:MA): Strong Growth and a High-Quality Technical Setup

  30. Nov 14, 1:08 AMVvia finnhub

    Visa (V) Stock Gets Fair Value Bump As Analysts Lift Targets On New Growth Areas

Macro & geopolitical context

(15)

High-severity world events that touch this agent's universe.

  1. Nov 14, 5:29 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    Israeli military strikes senior Hamas commander in ongoing Middle East conflict.

  2. Nov 14, 9:00 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Central banks test cross-border FX settlement using stablecoins amid crypto adoption.

  3. Nov 13, 6:22 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    Trump plans to discuss nuclear-arms cuts with Putin and Xi on Thursday.

  4. Nov 13, 4:02 PMpolicy · severity 4/5

    October PPI misses expectations; Fed hawkish concerns ease amid softer inflation data.

  5. Nov 13, 12:11 PMmarket · severity 3/5

    US consumer spending shows signs of weakness across eight key economic indicators.

    Tickers:COSTPEPSBUXMDLZBACCWMT
  6. Nov 13, 9:34 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Treasury Secretary Bessent and Fed's Goolsbee debate energy's contribution to inflation dynamics.

  7. Nov 13, 7:30 AMpolicy · severity 4/5

    US October PPI comes in slightly below expectations at 6.5%, signaling modest inflation moderation.

  8. Nov 13, 7:26 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    FTC plans lawsuit to block $3.5B Covetrus-MWI merger.

  9. Nov 13, 4:00 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Eurozone Q3 GDP confirmed at 0.4% q/q, reinforcing moderate growth outlook amid uneven regional performance.

  10. Nov 13, 3:27 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    DOJ seizes $1.2B from Binance hack, disrupts FaceStealer cryptocurrency scam operation.

  11. Nov 13, 3:25 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    IAEA expresses growing concerns about Iranian nuclear enrichment activities.

  12. Nov 13, 2:00 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Spain inflation remains elevated at 4.9%, supporting ECB rate hike expectations.

  13. Nov 13, 1:00 AMgeopolitical · severity 4/5

    Iran reports tanker explosion in Hormuz Strait after mine strike, escalating regional tensions.

  14. Nov 12, 10:52 PMpolicy · severity 4/5

    US bond market volatility resurges amid higher-for-longer interest rate expectations.

  15. Nov 12, 8:51 PMgeopolitical · severity 4/5

    Iran's Guards claim attack on US early-warning radar in Bahrain, escalating regional tensions.

Recent runs

(20)

Every scheduled run for this agent. Most are no-op; the interesting ones show what changed.

  1. Nov 13, 3:45 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  2. Nov 13, 3:30 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  3. Nov 13, 3:15 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  4. Nov 13, 3:01 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  5. Nov 13, 2:45 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  6. Nov 13, 2:30 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  7. Nov 13, 2:16 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  8. Nov 13, 2:00 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  9. Nov 13, 1:46 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  10. Nov 13, 1:31 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  11. Nov 13, 1:15 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  12. Nov 13, 1:00 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  13. Nov 13, 12:45 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  14. Nov 13, 12:30 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  15. Nov 13, 12:16 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  16. Nov 13, 12:00 PMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  17. Nov 13, 11:45 AMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  18. Nov 13, 11:30 AMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  19. Nov 13, 11:16 AMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
  20. Nov 13, 10:45 AMPairs tick: 4 pairs evaluated, 0 orders.
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