Mean-reversion between GLD and SLV. Rotates to silver when gold:silver per-ounce ratio crosses 80, to gold when ratio drops below 50; 50-80 is a hold band. v2 adds a hardcoded -20% drawdown stop on the held position regardless of ratio.
This agent will start trading when the conditions above are met. Most often that's a monthly rebalance window or a specific market-condition trigger (z- score, momentum threshold, regime flip). The Intelligence view shows the tickers it's watching right now.
Ounce Ledger
The strategy's actual success metric. Dollar P/L is incidental — ounces accumulated is what we're tracking.
Ounces are approximations based on the ETF conversion factors (GLD ≈ 0.1 oz gold/share, SLV ≈ 1.0 oz silver/share). They drift slightly over time due to fund expenses, which is acceptable for a regime-trigger strategy. A future enhancement will surface ounces-gained-per-rotation by reconstructing the journal as a chain of swaps and comparing against a one-metal buy-and-hold counterfactual.
Scorecard
Open Positions
(1)Every open position with the thesis logged at entry.
Open Positions
(1)Every open position with the thesis logged at entry.
- 230 sh × $433.49 ($99,703 cost)$395.17$90,889−$8,813.60−8.84%
Closed Positions
(0)Every position this agent has closed, win or lose. Click any to see why it was opened and closed.
Closed Positions
(0)Every position this agent has closed, win or lose. Click any to see why it was opened and closed.
No closed positions yet.
How this agent thinks
Plain English. Skip the jargon, read this first.
The goal isn't to make dollars — it's to grow ounces. The agent holds either gold (GLD) or silver (SLV) at all times and rotates between them when the gold-to-silver price ratio gets extreme. Historically that ratio has hovered around 65, swinging up to 80 or down to 50 over multiyear cycles. When the ratio gets high (gold expensive relative to silver), the agent sells its gold and uses the proceeds to buy as much silver as it can afford at that moment. When the ratio gets low, it sells the silver and buys gold. Each rotation should leave the agent with more ounces of the destination metal than it would have had if it had simply held the original metal through the swing. Over many cycles, ounces compound. The dollar P/L is incidental; the success metric is the ounce count, and specifically the ounces accumulated above what a buy-and-hold of one metal would have produced.
Universe: GLD, SLV (ETFs only, not spot or futures) · Capital: $100,000
Recent activity
(24)What the agent has been looking at and what it's done about it.
Recent activity
(24)What the agent has been looking at and what it's done about it.
- HOLDSep 11, 5:00 PM
Ratio 68.61 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDSep 10, 5:00 PM
Ratio 68.93 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDSep 9, 5:00 PM
Ratio 66.40 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDSep 8, 5:00 PM
Ratio 67.33 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDSep 4, 5:00 PM
Ratio 67.99 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDSep 3, 5:00 PM
Ratio 67.75 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDSep 2, 5:00 PM
Ratio 68.19 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDSep 1, 5:00 PM
Ratio 68.51 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDAug 31, 5:00 PM
Ratio 67.93 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDAug 28, 5:00 PM
Ratio 68.13 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDAug 27, 5:00 PM
Ratio 67.33 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDAug 26, 5:00 PM
Ratio 68.39 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDAug 25, 5:00 PM
Ratio 68.69 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDAug 24, 5:00 PM
Ratio 68.60 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDAug 10, 5:00 PM
Ratio 67.76 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDAug 7, 5:00 PM
Ratio 69.29 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDAug 6, 5:00 PM
Ratio 69.77 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDAug 5, 5:00 PM
Ratio 69.50 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDAug 4, 5:00 PM
Ratio 69.50 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDAug 3, 5:00 PM
Ratio 70.84 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDJul 31, 5:00 PM
Ratio 70.96 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDJul 30, 5:00 PM
Ratio 70.51 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDJul 29, 5:00 PM
Ratio 71.72 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDJul 28, 5:00 PM
Ratio 71.44 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
Watching
(0)Names this agent is tracking but hasn't entered.
Watching
(0)Names this agent is tracking but hasn't entered.
Nothing on the watchlist right now.
Relevant news
(0)Recent headlines on tickers this agent holds, watches, or has evaluated.
Relevant news
(0)Recent headlines on tickers this agent holds, watches, or has evaluated.
No recent news on this agent's tickers.
Macro & geopolitical context
(15)High-severity world events that touch this agent's universe.
Macro & geopolitical context
(15)High-severity world events that touch this agent's universe.
- Sep 14, 11:56 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
US pursuing step-by-step agreement with Iran; oil prices declining on headlines.
- Sep 14, 8:39 AMgeopolitical · severity 4/5
Middle East tensions drive crude oil toward $105 amid Saudi pipeline disruptions.
- Sep 14, 7:31 AMpolicy · severity 3/5
Central bank week begins with USD strength and equity market pressure.
- Sep 14, 6:55 AMpolicy · severity 4/5
Fed rate hike bets surge in September amid AI stock weakness and oil surge.
- Sep 14, 6:38 AMpolicy · severity 3/5
EU imposes 24-72 hour vulnerability reporting requirements on crypto wallet providers.
- Sep 14, 5:53 AMpolicy · severity 3/5
India's August CPI rises to 4.82%, signaling potential central bank rate hike.
- Sep 14, 5:12 AMpolicy · severity 3/5
Bitcoin faces selloff risk ahead of FOMC decision and CLARITY Act vote.
- Sep 14, 5:00 AMpolicy · severity 3/5
Bitcoin volatility expected ahead of Senate CLARITY Act vote and Fed rate decision.
- Sep 14, 4:55 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
Saudi crown prince and US CENTCOM chief discuss Houthi escalation response.
- Sep 14, 4:29 AMpolicy · severity 3/5
Fed, BOE, and BOJ interest-rate decisions set to influence cryptocurrency markets this week.
- Sep 14, 2:49 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
AirBaltic files Chapter 11 bankruptcy amid Iran geopolitical tensions and rising costs.
- Sep 13, 7:50 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
Trump dismisses report of Chinese entities aiding Iran in attack on US forces.
- Sep 13, 7:01 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
Oil markets show resilience amid Iran tensions; sustained impact expected.
- Sep 13, 6:40 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
Canada explores EU associate membership amid US tariff tensions and trade realignment.
- Sep 13, 11:58 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
Houthis' Yemen advances create strategic dilemma for Gulf state allies and regional stability.
Recent runs
(20)Every scheduled run for this agent. Most are no-op; the interesting ones show what changed.
Recent runs
(20)Every scheduled run for this agent. Most are no-op; the interesting ones show what changed.
- Sep 11, 5:00 PMRatio 68.61, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Sep 10, 5:00 PMRatio 68.93, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Sep 9, 5:00 PMRatio 66.40, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Sep 8, 5:00 PMRatio 67.33, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Sep 4, 5:00 PMRatio 67.99, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Sep 3, 5:00 PMRatio 67.75, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Sep 2, 5:00 PMRatio 68.19, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Sep 1, 5:00 PMRatio 68.51, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Aug 31, 5:00 PMRatio 67.93, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Aug 28, 5:00 PMRatio 68.13, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Aug 27, 5:00 PMRatio 67.33, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Aug 26, 5:00 PMRatio 68.39, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Aug 25, 5:00 PMRatio 68.69, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Aug 24, 5:00 PMRatio 68.60, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Aug 10, 5:00 PMRatio 67.76, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Aug 7, 5:00 PMRatio 69.29, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Aug 6, 5:00 PMRatio 69.77, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Aug 5, 5:00 PMRatio 69.50, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Aug 4, 5:00 PMRatio 69.50, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Aug 3, 5:00 PMRatio 70.84, in-band. Holding GLD.