Mean-reversion between GLD and SLV. Rotates to silver when gold:silver per-ounce ratio crosses 80, to gold when ratio drops below 50; 50-80 is a hold band. v2 adds a hardcoded -20% drawdown stop on the held position regardless of ratio.
This agent will start trading when the conditions above are met. Most often that's a monthly rebalance window or a specific market-condition trigger (z- score, momentum threshold, regime flip). The Intelligence view shows the tickers it's watching right now.
Ounce Ledger
The strategy's actual success metric. Dollar P/L is incidental — ounces accumulated is what we're tracking.
Ounces are approximations based on the ETF conversion factors (GLD ≈ 0.1 oz gold/share, SLV ≈ 1.0 oz silver/share). They drift slightly over time due to fund expenses, which is acceptable for a regime-trigger strategy. A future enhancement will surface ounces-gained-per-rotation by reconstructing the journal as a chain of swaps and comparing against a one-metal buy-and-hold counterfactual.
Scorecard
Open Positions
(1)Every open position with the thesis logged at entry.
Open Positions
(1)Every open position with the thesis logged at entry.
- 230 sh × $433.49 ($99,703 cost)$369.26$84,930−$14,772.90−14.82%
Closed Positions
(0)Every position this agent has closed, win or lose. Click any to see why it was opened and closed.
Closed Positions
(0)Every position this agent has closed, win or lose. Click any to see why it was opened and closed.
No closed positions yet.
How this agent thinks
Plain English. Skip the jargon, read this first.
The goal isn't to make dollars — it's to grow ounces. The agent holds either gold (GLD) or silver (SLV) at all times and rotates between them when the gold-to-silver price ratio gets extreme. Historically that ratio has hovered around 65, swinging up to 80 or down to 50 over multiyear cycles. When the ratio gets high (gold expensive relative to silver), the agent sells its gold and uses the proceeds to buy as much silver as it can afford at that moment. When the ratio gets low, it sells the silver and buys gold. Each rotation should leave the agent with more ounces of the destination metal than it would have had if it had simply held the original metal through the swing. Over many cycles, ounces compound. The dollar P/L is incidental; the success metric is the ounce count, and specifically the ounces accumulated above what a buy-and-hold of one metal would have produced.
Universe: GLD, SLV (ETFs only, not spot or futures) · Capital: $100,000
Recent activity
(24)What the agent has been looking at and what it's done about it.
Recent activity
(24)What the agent has been looking at and what it's done about it.
- HOLDJun 26, 5:00 PM
Ratio 70.13 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 25, 5:00 PM
Ratio 70.58 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 24, 5:00 PM
Ratio 70.70 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 23, 5:00 PM
Ratio 67.71 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 22, 5:00 PM
Ratio 65.29 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 18, 5:00 PM
Ratio 65.05 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 17, 5:00 PM
Ratio 64.12 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 16, 5:00 PM
Ratio 62.72 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 15, 5:00 PM
Ratio 62.48 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 12, 5:00 PM
Ratio 63.08 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 11, 5:00 PM
Ratio 63.52 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 10, 5:00 PM
Ratio 64.98 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 9, 5:00 PM
Ratio 66.26 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 8, 5:00 PM
Ratio 64.49 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 5, 5:00 PM
Ratio 64.37 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 4, 5:00 PM
Ratio 61.40 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 3, 5:00 PM
Ratio 61.60 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 3, 9:44 AM
Ratio 61.28 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 2, 5:00 PM
Ratio 60.58 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDJun 1, 5:00 PM
Ratio 60.77 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDMay 29, 5:00 PM
Ratio 61.05 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDMay 28, 5:00 PM
Ratio 60.40 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDMay 27, 5:00 PM
Ratio 60.52 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
- HOLDMay 26, 5:00 PM
Ratio 59.37 signals GLD; already holding GLD.
Watching
(0)Names this agent is tracking but hasn't entered.
Watching
(0)Names this agent is tracking but hasn't entered.
Nothing on the watchlist right now.
Relevant news
(30)Recent headlines on tickers this agent holds, watches, or has evaluated.
Relevant news
(30)Recent headlines on tickers this agent holds, watches, or has evaluated.
Physical Demand For Gold Remains Strong Even While Silver Sees Slowing Delivery Volume
Mohamed El-Erian Says Gold Needs One Key Buyer To Break Out Of Its $4,000 Slump
Commodities: Oil Bounces Back After Vessel Hit In Strait Of Hormuz
Micron Rallies 15%, Apple Sinks 6% On Memory Costs: Stock Market Today
Micron Rallies 15%, Apple Sinks 6% On Memory Costs: Stock Market Today
Despite The Gold Crash, Miners Offer A Massive Hidden Discount
Gold Just Met Its First Real Rival In Years — And It’s Not What Anyone Expected
Micron Earnings Reaction To Test AI Trade; SK Hynix US Listing Is Bad News For MU
Gold And Silver Have Further To Fall- When I Plan On Buying Again
Here’s How Much You Would Have Made Owning SPDR Gold Shares Stock In The Last 5 Years
Gold Just Did Something It Hasn't Done Since 2022. Nvidia Bulls May Like It
The Technicals: Getting Closer To A Bottom, But Not There Yet
Gold ETFs Just Saw Their Biggest Weekly Inflow Since April After $7.6 Billion Exodus
Commodities: Hormuz Recovery Continues To Weigh On Oil Market
Since 2001, Gold Prices Have Presented A Seasonality In The 2nd Half That Will Surprise You
Gold Tumbles From Record Highs—But These Gold Miners Are Climbing Into Top Momentum Zones
Stock-Bond Dynamics May Be In Flux, But Global Diversification Proved Its Worth In 2026
Macro & geopolitical context
(15)High-severity world events that touch this agent's universe.
Macro & geopolitical context
(15)High-severity world events that touch this agent's universe.
- Jun 29, 10:27 AMpolicy · severity 3/5
Kalshi traders predict upcoming jobs report will miss Wall Street consensus expectations.
- Jun 29, 7:40 AMgeopolitical · severity 4/5
U.S. envoys Kushner and Witkoff to meet Iran in Doha negotiations.
- Jun 29, 6:24 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
US-Iran de-escalation channels established ahead of diplomatic talks.
- Jun 29, 5:01 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
EU's MiCA deadline threatens unlicensed crypto firms with regulatory wipeout.
- Jun 29, 1:03 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
Bitcoin declines to $59,700 as Iran tensions ease, benefiting equities over crypto.
- Jun 29, 12:31 AMpolicy · severity 4/5
BIS warns AI investment surge poses systemic financial risk via leveraged debt structures.
- Jun 29, 12:02 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
Iranian cyberattacks on Israel escalated in 2026, raising regional security concerns.
- Jun 28, 9:56 PMgeopolitical · severity 4/5
US-Iran strikes lift oil prices while Fed rate hike expectations weigh on gold.
- Jun 28, 9:48 PMpolicy · severity 4/5
BOJ aligns monetary policy with Japanese government's economic growth targets.
- Jun 28, 9:22 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
China blacklists 20 Japanese entities in dual-use export restrictions; normal trade unaffected.
- Jun 28, 8:40 PMgeopolitical · severity 4/5
US-Iran tensions ease temporarily; oil rallies while equities remain choppy.
- Jun 28, 8:31 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
Iran tensions and Fed rate outlook impact Indian rupee and bond markets.
- Jun 28, 3:36 PMgeopolitical · severity 4/5
Israel destroys Hezbollah underground infrastructure in southern Lebanon amid escalating conflict.
- Jun 28, 2:53 PMgeopolitical · severity 4/5
Iran cancels technical talks participation following recent military attacks in region.
- Jun 28, 1:58 PMpolicy · severity 3/5
BIS warns stablecoins risk fragmenting global financial system, urges central bank digital currency development.
Recent runs
(20)Every scheduled run for this agent. Most are no-op; the interesting ones show what changed.
Recent runs
(20)Every scheduled run for this agent. Most are no-op; the interesting ones show what changed.
- Jun 26, 5:00 PMRatio 70.13, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Jun 25, 5:00 PMRatio 70.58, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Jun 24, 5:00 PMRatio 70.70, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Jun 23, 5:00 PMRatio 67.71, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Jun 22, 5:00 PMRatio 65.29, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Jun 18, 5:00 PMRatio 65.05, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Jun 17, 5:00 PMRatio 64.12. Already in GLD; no action.
- Jun 16, 5:00 PMRatio 62.72. Already in GLD; no action.
- Jun 15, 5:00 PMRatio 62.48. Already in GLD; no action.
- Jun 12, 5:00 PMRatio 63.08. Already in GLD; no action.
- Jun 11, 5:00 PMRatio 63.52. Already in GLD; no action.
- Jun 10, 5:00 PMRatio 64.98. Already in GLD; no action.
- Jun 9, 5:00 PMRatio 66.26, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Jun 8, 5:00 PMRatio 64.49. Already in GLD; no action.
- Jun 5, 5:00 PMRatio 64.37. Already in GLD; no action.
- Jun 4, 5:00 PMRatio 61.40. Already in GLD; no action.
- Jun 3, 5:00 PMRatio 61.60. Already in GLD; no action.
- Jun 3, 9:44 AMRatio 61.28. Already in GLD; no action.
- Jun 2, 5:00 PMRatio 60.58. Already in GLD; no action.
- Jun 1, 5:00 PMRatio 60.77. Already in GLD; no action.