Ounce Ledger
The strategy's actual success metric. Dollar P/L is incidental — ounces accumulated is what we're tracking.
Ounces are approximations based on the ETF conversion factors (GLD ≈ 0.1 oz gold/share, SLV ≈ 1.0 oz silver/share). They drift slightly over time due to fund expenses, which is acceptable for a regime-trigger strategy. A future enhancement will surface ounces-gained-per-rotation by reconstructing the journal as a chain of swaps and comparing against a one-metal buy-and-hold counterfactual.
Scorecard
Open Positions
(1)Every open position with the thesis logged at entry.
Open Positions
(1)Every open position with the thesis logged at entry.
- 1,736 sh × $48.72 ($84,578 cost)$44.13$76,601−$7,976.92−9.43%
Closed Positions
(1)Every position this agent has closed, win or lose. Click any to see why it was opened and closed.
Closed Positions
(1)Every position this agent has closed, win or lose. Click any to see why it was opened and closed.
How this agent thinks
Plain English. Skip the jargon, read this first.
The goal isn't to make dollars — it's to grow ounces. The agent holds either gold (GLD) or silver (SLV) at all times and rotates between them when the gold-to-silver price ratio gets extreme. Historically that ratio has hovered around 65, swinging up to 80 or down to 50 over multiyear cycles. When the ratio gets high (gold expensive relative to silver), the agent sells its gold and uses the proceeds to buy as much silver as it can afford at that moment. When the ratio gets low, it sells the silver and buys gold. Each rotation should leave the agent with more ounces of the destination metal than it would have had if it had simply held the original metal through the swing. Over many cycles, ounces compound. The dollar P/L is incidental; the success metric is the ounce count, and specifically the ounces accumulated above what a buy-and-hold of one metal would have produced.
Universe: GLD, SLV (ETFs only, not spot or futures) · Capital: $100,000
Prompt performance
Closed-position stats broken out by the prompt version that authored each buy.
| Prompt | Trades | W / L / S | Win rate | Avg P/L % | Total P/L | Avg hold | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| unknown | 1 | 0 / 1 / 0 | 0% | -15.43% | -$15,382 | 165d | May 11, 2026 → Oct 23, 2026 |
Recent activity
(24)What the agent has been looking at and what it's done about it.
Recent activity
(24)What the agent has been looking at and what it's done about it.
- HOLDNov 13, 4:00 PM
Ratio 80.54 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- HOLDNov 12, 6:30 PM
Ratio 78.65 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- HOLDNov 11, 4:00 PM
Ratio 78.25 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- HOLDNov 9, 4:00 PM
Ratio 78.83 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- HOLDNov 6, 4:00 PM
Ratio 79.47 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- HOLDNov 5, 4:00 PM
Ratio 80.01 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- HOLDNov 4, 4:00 PM
Ratio 78.97 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- HOLDNov 3, 4:00 PM
Ratio 80.12 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- HOLDNov 2, 4:00 PM
Ratio 79.36 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- HOLDOct 30, 5:00 PM
Ratio 79.87 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- HOLDOct 29, 5:00 PM
Ratio 77.95 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- HOLDOct 28, 5:00 PM
Ratio 76.13 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- HOLDOct 27, 5:00 PM
Ratio 75.73 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- HOLDOct 26, 5:00 PM
Ratio 75.59 signals SLV; already holding SLV.
- ROTATEOct 23, 5:00 PM
Ratio 75.25 exceeds 75. Rotating from GLD to SLV (1736 shares @ $48.72).
- HOLDOct 22, 5:00 PM
Ratio 74.79 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDOct 21, 5:00 PM
Ratio 72.51 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDOct 20, 5:00 PM
Ratio 72.46 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDOct 19, 5:00 PM
Ratio 73.67 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDOct 16, 5:00 PM
Ratio 74.17 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDOct 15, 5:00 PM
Ratio 73.73 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDOct 14, 5:00 PM
Ratio 74.87 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDOct 13, 5:00 PM
Ratio 71.36 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
- HOLDOct 12, 5:00 PM
Ratio 70.31 is inside [65, 75]; holding GLD.
Watching
(0)Names this agent is tracking but hasn't entered.
Watching
(0)Names this agent is tracking but hasn't entered.
Nothing on the watchlist right now.
Relevant news
(0)Recent headlines on tickers this agent holds, watches, or has evaluated.
Relevant news
(0)Recent headlines on tickers this agent holds, watches, or has evaluated.
No recent news on this agent's tickers.
Macro & geopolitical context
(15)High-severity world events that touch this agent's universe.
Macro & geopolitical context
(15)High-severity world events that touch this agent's universe.
- Nov 14, 5:29 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
Israeli military strikes senior Hamas commander in ongoing Middle East conflict.
- Nov 14, 9:00 AMpolicy · severity 3/5
Central banks test cross-border FX settlement using stablecoins amid crypto adoption.
- Nov 14, 5:04 AMgeopolitical · severity 4/5
Trump signals potential restraint on Iran military action absent new provocations.
- Nov 13, 6:22 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
Trump plans to discuss nuclear-arms cuts with Putin and Xi on Thursday.
- Nov 13, 4:02 PMpolicy · severity 4/5
October PPI misses expectations; Fed hawkish concerns ease amid softer inflation data.
- Nov 13, 9:34 AMpolicy · severity 3/5
Treasury Secretary Bessent and Fed's Goolsbee debate energy's contribution to inflation dynamics.
- Nov 13, 7:30 AMpolicy · severity 4/5
US October PPI comes in slightly below expectations at 6.5%, signaling modest inflation moderation.
- Nov 13, 7:26 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
FTC plans lawsuit to block $3.5B Covetrus-MWI merger.
- Nov 13, 4:00 AMpolicy · severity 3/5
Eurozone Q3 GDP confirmed at 0.4% q/q, reinforcing moderate growth outlook amid uneven regional performance.
- Nov 13, 3:27 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
DOJ seizes $1.2B from Binance hack, disrupts FaceStealer cryptocurrency scam operation.
- Nov 13, 3:25 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5
IAEA expresses growing concerns about Iranian nuclear enrichment activities.
- Nov 13, 2:00 AMpolicy · severity 3/5
Spain inflation remains elevated at 4.9%, supporting ECB rate hike expectations.
- Nov 13, 1:00 AMgeopolitical · severity 4/5
Iran reports tanker explosion in Hormuz Strait after mine strike, escalating regional tensions.
- Nov 12, 10:52 PMpolicy · severity 4/5
US bond market volatility resurges amid higher-for-longer interest rate expectations.
- Nov 12, 8:51 PMgeopolitical · severity 4/5
Iran's Guards claim attack on US early-warning radar in Bahrain, escalating regional tensions.
Recent runs
(20)Every scheduled run for this agent. Most are no-op; the interesting ones show what changed.
Recent runs
(20)Every scheduled run for this agent. Most are no-op; the interesting ones show what changed.
- Nov 13, 4:00 PMRatio 80.54. Already in SLV; no action.
- Nov 12, 6:30 PMRatio 78.65. Already in SLV; no action.
- Nov 11, 4:00 PMRatio 78.25. Already in SLV; no action.
- Nov 10, 4:00 PMClosed by janitor — finished_at was NULL after 4478s.
- Nov 9, 4:00 PMRatio 78.83. Already in SLV; no action.
- Nov 6, 4:00 PMRatio 79.47. Already in SLV; no action.
- Nov 5, 4:00 PMRatio 80.01. Already in SLV; no action.
- Nov 4, 4:00 PMRatio 78.97. Already in SLV; no action.
- Nov 3, 4:00 PMRatio 80.12. Already in SLV; no action.
- Nov 2, 4:00 PMRatio 79.36. Already in SLV; no action.
- Oct 30, 5:00 PMRatio 79.87. Already in SLV; no action.
- Oct 29, 5:00 PMRatio 77.95. Already in SLV; no action.
- Oct 28, 5:00 PMRatio 76.13. Already in SLV; no action.
- Oct 27, 5:00 PMRatio 75.73. Already in SLV; no action.
- Oct 26, 5:00 PMRatio 75.59. Already in SLV; no action.
- Oct 23, 5:00 PMRatio 75.25 → rotate GLD → SLV (1736 sh @ $48.72).
- Oct 22, 5:00 PMRatio 74.79, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Oct 21, 5:00 PMRatio 72.51, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Oct 20, 5:00 PMRatio 72.46, in-band. Holding GLD.
- Oct 19, 5:00 PMRatio 73.67, in-band. Holding GLD.