Wires·
Standing by — next sweep in ~11 min.
Markets
Dow-0.17%Russell 2000-0.09%Nasdaq-0.38%S&P 500-0.25%VXX+0.30%IEF+0.09%GLD-0.91%SLV-1.02%USO+0.05%UUP+0.29%Dow-0.17%Russell 2000-0.09%Nasdaq-0.38%S&P 500-0.25%VXX+0.30%IEF+0.09%GLD-0.91%SLV-1.02%USO+0.05%UUP+0.29%
No. I · Vol. I
Monday, September 14, 2026

Agent 9 — Bear Equity

BEAR
HEALTHY

Short-only Weinstein Stage 4 trend follower — the bearish mirror of Agent 1. v2 adds trailing stop + 3-tier ratchet on the short side. Target 10 shorts at all times. Stress-wake opt-in (high severity).

The bearish mirror of Agent I. Picks 10 NASDAQ stocks at a time using the same Weinstein method, but only SHORTS Stage 4 setups — stocks in clear downtrends with their 30-week MA falling. The bet: stocks falling steadily for months tend to keep falling. Same -15% stop rule (in this case, +15% from entry, since shorts profit when price drops). Avoids names already 50%+ off their highs (the easy money's gone) unless the breakdown is fresh. Frozen rules. At day 365 we compare against Agent I: did long-only trend-following or short-only trend-following work better on the same names over the same year?

CUMULATIVE GAIN · 2026-05-12 → 2026-09-14 (live)−$7K−$2K+$3K+$7KBreak-even · $0−$1KMay 12Jun 18Jul 26Sep 14
BEAR EQUITY
$98,554
-$1,446 (-1.45%)
since inception · on $100,000 allotted
Deployed capital
$66,786
66.8% of allotted in positions
Back to homeConnecting…
Today
Δ Equity
-$895.77
Δ %
-0.90%
Decisions
0
0 acted
Closed today
0

Scorecard

Open Positions

(6)

Every open position with the thesis logged at entry.

  • LULULululemon Athleticashortopened Aug 31, 2026stop $132.31
    83 sh × $120.28 ($9,983 cost)$100.48$8,340+$1,643.40+16.46%
  • ORLYO'Reilly Automotiveshortopened Aug 31, 2026stop $97.69
    112 sh × $88.81 ($9,946 cost)$87.15$9,761+$185.58+1.87%
  • IDXXIDEXX Laboratoriesshortopened Aug 4, 2026stop $646.92
    17 sh × $588.11 ($9,998 cost)$507.59$8,629+$1,368.84+13.69%
  • APPAppLovin Corp.shortopened Jul 29, 2026stop $439.40
    25 sh × $399.45 ($9,986 cost)$334.57$8,364+$1,622.00+16.24%
  • AZNAstraZeneca plcshortopened Jul 28, 2026stop $189.77
    57 sh × $172.52 ($9,833 cost)$163.85$9,339+$494.19+5.03%
  • BIDUBaidu Inc.shortopened Jul 7, 2026stop $123.31
    89 sh × $112.10 ($9,977 cost)$92.46$8,229+$1,747.96+17.52%
open · 6 equity positionscost $59,724$52,662unrealized−$7,061.97−11.82%
realized + unrealized = total p/l−$8,507.52+−$7,061.97=−$15,569.49

Closed Positions

(18)

Every position this agent has closed, win or lose. Click any to see why it was opened and closed.

TickerSideInOutHold$ P/L% P/L

How this agent thinks

Plain English. Skip the jargon, read this first.

The bearish mirror of Agent I. Picks 10 NASDAQ stocks at a time using the same Weinstein method, but only SHORTS Stage 4 setups — stocks in clear downtrends with their 30-week MA falling. The bet: stocks falling steadily for months tend to keep falling. Same -15% stop rule (in this case, +15% from entry, since shorts profit when price drops). Avoids names already 50%+ off their highs (the easy money's gone) unless the breakdown is fresh. Frozen rules. At day 365 we compare against Agent I: did long-only trend-following or short-only trend-following work better on the same names over the same year?

Universe: NASDAQ-listed, same 100-name starter set as Agents I + II · Capital: $100,000

Prompt performance

Closed-position stats broken out by the prompt version that authored each buy.

PromptTradesW / L / SWin rateAvg P/L %Total P/LAvg holdWindow
unknown184 / 14 / 022.2%-4.81%-$8,50835.7dMay 12, 2026 → Aug 31, 2026

Recent activity

(24)

What the agent has been looking at and what it's done about it.

  1. ISRGENTRYSep 11, 5:00 PM

    [not executed — reserve_floor_or_cash] Stage 4: close $369.15 < MA150 $429.08 (-14.0%), MA falling, 38.9% off 52w high, vol 1.52× avg

  2. SNPSENTRYSep 11, 5:00 PM

    [not executed — reserve_floor_or_cash] Stage 4: close $397.38 < MA150 $438.41 (-9.4%), MA falling, 26.3% off 52w high, vol 0.64× avg

  3. GEHCCONSIDEREDSep 11, 5:00 PM

    Stage 4: close $63.93 < MA150 $69.23 (-7.7%), MA falling, 28.8% off 52w high, vol 0.88× avg

  4. ADSKCONSIDEREDSep 11, 5:00 PM

    Stage 4: close $212.40 < MA150 $232.56 (-8.7%), MA falling, 35.0% off 52w high, vol 0.75× avg

  5. COSTCONSIDEREDSep 11, 5:00 PM

    Stage 4: close $904.77 < MA150 $976.42 (-7.3%), MA falling, 17.5% off 52w high, vol 0.96× avg

  6. PINSCONSIDEREDSep 11, 5:00 PM

    Stage 4: close $19.05 < MA150 $20.53 (-7.2%), MA falling, 48.6% off 52w high, vol 1.25× avg

  7. JDCONSIDEREDSep 11, 5:00 PM

    Stage 4: close $27.06 < MA150 $29.04 (-6.8%), MA falling, 26.6% off 52w high, vol 0.51× avg

  8. CMCSACONSIDEREDSep 11, 5:00 PM

    Stage 4: close $25.20 < MA150 $26.69 (-5.6%), MA falling, 23.3% off 52w high, vol 0.71× avg

  9. PEPCONSIDEREDSep 11, 5:00 PM

    Stage 4: close $136.32 < MA150 $148.99 (-8.5%), MA falling, 20.5% off 52w high, vol 1.14× avg

  10. PDDCONSIDEREDSep 11, 5:00 PM

    Stage 4: close $77.81 < MA150 $92.51 (-15.9%), MA falling, 44.2% off 52w high, vol 0.98× avg

  11. CHTRCONSIDEREDSep 11, 5:00 PM

    Stage 4: close $145.77 < MA150 $173.56 (-16.0%), MA falling, 49.0% off 52w high, vol 0.70× avg

  12. BKNGCONSIDEREDSep 11, 5:00 PM

    Stage 4: close $173.92 < MA150 $178.27 (-2.4%), MA falling, 22.7% off 52w high, vol 0.90× avg

  13. ISRGENTRYSep 10, 5:03 PM

    [not executed — reserve_floor_or_cash] Stage 4: close $360.46 < MA150 $429.79 (-16.1%), MA falling, 40.3% off 52w high, vol 1.52× avg

  14. GEHCENTRYSep 10, 5:03 PM

    [not executed — reserve_floor_or_cash] Stage 4: close $64.24 < MA150 $69.36 (-7.4%), MA falling, 28.4% off 52w high, vol 1.18× avg

  15. SNPSCONSIDEREDSep 10, 5:03 PM

    Stage 4: close $397.17 < MA150 $438.50 (-9.4%), MA falling, 26.4% off 52w high, vol 0.92× avg

  16. PINSCONSIDEREDSep 10, 5:03 PM

    Stage 4: close $18.78 < MA150 $20.54 (-8.6%), MA falling, 49.3% off 52w high, vol 1.32× avg

  17. ADSKCONSIDEREDSep 10, 5:03 PM

    Stage 4: close $211.61 < MA150 $232.73 (-9.1%), MA falling, 35.2% off 52w high, vol 1.06× avg

  18. COSTCONSIDEREDSep 10, 5:03 PM

    Stage 4: close $902.38 < MA150 $976.98 (-7.6%), MA falling, 17.7% off 52w high, vol 1.06× avg

  19. CMCSACONSIDEREDSep 10, 5:03 PM

    Stage 4: close $25.17 < MA150 $26.73 (-5.8%), MA falling, 23.4% off 52w high, vol 1.08× avg

  20. JDCONSIDEREDSep 10, 5:03 PM

    Stage 4: close $27.02 < MA150 $29.05 (-7.0%), MA falling, 26.7% off 52w high, vol 0.78× avg

  21. PDDCONSIDEREDSep 10, 5:03 PM

    Stage 4: close $77.84 < MA150 $92.67 (-16.0%), MA falling, 44.2% off 52w high, vol 1.05× avg

  22. BKNGCONSIDEREDSep 10, 5:03 PM

    Stage 4: close $174.33 < MA150 $178.29 (-2.2%), MA falling, 22.5% off 52w high, vol 1.13× avg

  23. NXPICONSIDEREDSep 10, 5:03 PM

    Stage 4: close $226.47 < MA150 $250.49 (-9.6%), MA falling, 33.4% off 52w high, vol 1.00× avg

  24. PEPCONSIDEREDSep 10, 5:03 PM

    Stage 4: close $136.65 < MA150 $149.20 (-8.4%), MA falling, 20.3% off 52w high, vol 1.08× avg

Watching

(0)

Names this agent is tracking but hasn't entered.

Nothing on the watchlist right now.

Relevant news

(30)

Recent headlines on tickers this agent holds, watches, or has evaluated.

  1. Sep 14, 1:05 PMTSLAvia finnhub

    These S&P500 stocks are the most active in today's session

  2. Sep 14, 12:36 PMCHTRvia finnhub

    Is Verizon Stock Counting On Money That Has Not Arrived Yet?

  3. Sep 14, 12:11 PMTSLAvia finnhub

    Tesla Slips Nearly 2% as Musk's AI Caution Complicates the Autonomy Story

  4. Sep 14, 12:11 PMPYPLvia finnhub

    Should You Buy Coinbase Stock While Its Revenue Is Shrinking?

  5. Sep 14, 11:53 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Oracle, Corning, Alphabet, GE Vernova, CrowdStrike, SpaceX, and More Stocks That Explain Today’s Market

  6. Sep 14, 11:47 AMCHTRvia finnhub

    Is AT&T Asking You To Fund A Network For AI Traffic?

  7. Sep 14, 11:09 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Millions of Tesla Owners Are About to Get a Software Update That Lets The Car Intervene and Steer Even If They Never Turned on Full Self-Driving.

  8. Sep 14, 11:04 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Tesla Fans, Don't Miss Oct. 1: Something Big Could Finally Happen

  9. Sep 14, 10:51 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Nvidia Triggers Key Signals As AI Warnings Mount; Is Nvidia A Sell Now?

  10. Sep 14, 10:05 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Tesla Expands Into Vietnam as Competition Intensifies in China

  11. Sep 14, 9:43 AMSNPSvia finnhub

    IonQ Presents Nine Peer-Reviewed Quantum Computing Papers at IEEE Quantum Week 2026

  12. Sep 14, 9:43 AMBKNGvia finnhub

    Booking Holdings (BKNG)’s Growth Strategy Hits an EU Roadblock

  13. Sep 14, 9:34 AMISRGvia finnhub

    Get Paid To Wait For ISRG Stock To Go On Sale

  14. Sep 14, 9:25 AMPEPvia finnhub

    Coca-Cola's Digital Strategy: Driving Sales or Just Hype?

  15. Sep 14, 9:20 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    History Suggests That You'll Regret Not Buying This Struggling Tech Stock

  16. Sep 14, 9:18 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Elon Musk: I've been 'sounding the alarm' on AI for a while

  17. Sep 14, 9:07 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Wall Street Lunch: Tesla's Roadster Could Be Ready To Take Flight

  18. Sep 14, 9:07 AMPYPLvia finnhub

    PayPal's Agentic Payments: Can These Unlock the Next Growth Leg?

  19. Sep 14, 9:03 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Kalshi To Offer U.S. Stock And Commodities Trading

  20. Sep 14, 9:00 AMSNPSvia finnhub

    Prediction: Arm Could Be the Picks-and-Shovels Winner of the AI Boom

  21. Sep 14, 9:00 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Amy Witherite Asks: "What Is Tesla Hiding About Its Safety Failures?"

  22. Sep 14, 8:55 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Goldman Sachs Just Supercharged Its Humanoid Robot Prediction 5X to 6.5 Million by 2035

  23. Sep 14, 8:45 AMCHTRvia finnhub

    Nike downgraded, Affirm upgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls

  24. Sep 14, 8:44 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Are You Buying Aurora Innovation's Trucks Or Its Story?

  25. Sep 14, 8:42 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Tesla: The Cybercab Failure Is Worse Than You Think

  26. Sep 14, 8:42 AMSNPSvia finnhub

    CEVA or SNPS: Which Semiconductor Stock Is Worth Buying Now?

  27. Sep 14, 8:38 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    NIO vs. Tesla: Which EV Stock Has the Better Investment Case?

  28. Sep 14, 8:36 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Elon Musk Plans New Tesla Roadster Unveiling In October; The Stock Slips

  29. Sep 14, 8:34 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Tesla Enters Vietnam With a $3 Million Sales Unit — and No Announcement

  30. Sep 14, 8:30 AMTSLAvia finnhub

    Tesla Could Be Building Its Next Trillion-Dollar Opportunity. Here’s Where Its Headed

Macro & geopolitical context

(15)

High-severity world events that touch this agent's universe.

  1. Sep 14, 12:51 PMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Banks and crypto firms clash over stablecoin rewards as Senate Clarity Act advances.

    Tickers:COINPYPL
  2. Sep 14, 11:56 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    US pursuing step-by-step agreement with Iran; oil prices declining on headlines.

  3. Sep 14, 8:39 AMgeopolitical · severity 4/5

    Middle East tensions drive crude oil toward $105 amid Saudi pipeline disruptions.

  4. Sep 14, 8:14 AMmarket · severity 3/5

    AI semiconductor and infrastructure stocks face heavy selling pressure ahead of Monday market open.

    Tickers:NVDAINTCAMDQCOMTXNMUKLACLRCXASMLMRVLONNXPI
  5. Sep 14, 7:31 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Central bank week begins with USD strength and equity market pressure.

  6. Sep 14, 6:55 AMpolicy · severity 4/5

    Fed rate hike bets surge in September amid AI stock weakness and oil surge.

  7. Sep 14, 6:38 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    EU imposes 24-72 hour vulnerability reporting requirements on crypto wallet providers.

  8. Sep 14, 5:53 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    India's August CPI rises to 4.82%, signaling potential central bank rate hike.

  9. Sep 14, 5:12 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Bitcoin faces selloff risk ahead of FOMC decision and CLARITY Act vote.

  10. Sep 14, 5:00 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Bitcoin volatility expected ahead of Senate CLARITY Act vote and Fed rate decision.

  11. Sep 14, 4:55 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    Saudi crown prince and US CENTCOM chief discuss Houthi escalation response.

  12. Sep 14, 4:29 AMpolicy · severity 3/5

    Fed, BOE, and BOJ interest-rate decisions set to influence cryptocurrency markets this week.

  13. Sep 14, 2:49 AMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    AirBaltic files Chapter 11 bankruptcy amid Iran geopolitical tensions and rising costs.

  14. Sep 13, 7:50 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    Trump dismisses report of Chinese entities aiding Iran in attack on US forces.

  15. Sep 13, 7:01 PMgeopolitical · severity 3/5

    Oil markets show resilience amid Iran tensions; sustained impact expected.

Recent runs

(20)

Every scheduled run for this agent. Most are no-op; the interesting ones show what changed.

  1. Sep 14, 1:45 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  2. Sep 14, 1:30 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  3. Sep 14, 1:15 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  4. Sep 14, 1:00 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  5. Sep 14, 12:45 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  6. Sep 14, 12:30 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  7. Sep 14, 12:15 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  8. Sep 14, 12:00 PMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  9. Sep 14, 11:45 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  10. Sep 14, 11:30 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  11. Sep 14, 11:15 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  12. Sep 14, 11:02 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  13. Sep 14, 10:45 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  14. Sep 14, 10:30 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  15. Sep 14, 10:15 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  16. Sep 14, 10:00 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  17. Sep 14, 9:45 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  18. Sep 14, 9:30 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  19. Sep 14, 9:15 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
  20. Sep 14, 9:00 AMintraday stop sweep: no stops or targets breached
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